Results 51 to 60 of about 1,166,466 (177)

Uncertainty in El Niño-like warming and California precipitation changes linked by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

open access: yesNature Communications, 2021
There is a strong disagreement between climate models on how precipitation in California will change. Here, the authors show that much of this uncertainty originates from internal variability with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation linking the ...
Lu Dong   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Driving Mechanisms of Land Degradation Neutrality at the County Level and Zonal Strategies in the Yellow River's Key Ecological Region (Part II: Post‐Assessment Driver Analysis)

open access: yesLand Degradation &Development, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Achieving land degradation neutrality (LDN) is critical for sustainable socio‐ecological development; however, its practical implementation is often hindered by scale mismatches between assessments and administrative units, coupled with an over‐reliance on static drivers.
Shuheng Zhang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Structural changes in the interannual variability of extreme autumn precipitation in eastern Spain and the weakening of synoptic forcing

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Total autumn precipitation in eastern Spain remains stable between 1950 and 2024, masking a substantial internal redistribution between ordinary and extreme rainfall. While torrential precipitation (Rp95) increases and ordinary precipitation (Ro) decreases, the extreme contribution index (Cext) shows a significant positive trend and a structural shift ...
Eduardo A. Agosta   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Modelling interdecadal climate variability and the role of the ocean

open access: yes, 2016
To estimate the anthropogenic contribution to climate signals in the recent past and future decades implies a certain degree of confidence in both understanding and simulating natural internal variability at interdecadal time scales.
Riccardo Farneti, Farneti, Riccardo
core   +1 more source

Can GCMs Simulate ENSO Cycles, Amplitudes, and Its Teleconnection Patterns with Global Precipitation?

open access: yesAtmosphere
The ability of a general circulation model (GCM) to capture the variability of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is not only a scientific issue of climate model performance, but also critical for climate change and variability impact studies.
Chongya Ma   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Tree Species Vulnerability to Fire Increases at Dry Range Edge

open access: yesGlobal Change Biology Communications, Volume 1, Issue 4, December 2026.
Following severe drought and fire, some tree species experience increased tree mortality, topkill (death of above‐ground biomass) and lower rates of seedling recruitment at the dry edge of their ranges, while other species maintain resilience, exhibiting low rates of mortality and topkill and high rates of recruitment across their ranges.
Eli R. Bendall   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

Interdecadal Sea Surface Temperature Variability in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. Part I: The Role of Off-Equatorial Wind Stresses and Oceanic Rossby Waves

open access: yes, 2007
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre CGCM and a linear first baroclinic-mode ocean shallow-water model (SWM) are used to investigate ocean dynamic forcing mechanisms of the equatorial Pacific Ocean interdecadal sea surface temperature ...
McGregor, Shayne   +2 more
core   +1 more source

Interdecadal Phase Shifts of Winter Asian‐Pacific Oscillation Modulate the Warm Arctic‐Cold Eurasia Pattern

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 19, 16 October 2026.
Abstract Against the backdrop of global warming, warm Arctic‐cold Eurasia (WACE) has garnered extensive scientific attention. However, the drivers of its interdecadal variability remain insufficiently understood. Using reanalysis data and pre‐industrial control simulations, we demonstrate that winter Asian‐Pacific Oscillation (APO), a dominant upper ...
Peilin Li   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Paleo‐Hydrological Drought in the South Saskatchewan River Basin: Implications for Water Allocation and Management

open access: yesJAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, Volume 62, Issue 5, October 2026.
ABSTRACT The South Saskatchewan River Basin (SSRB) in southern Alberta is the only major Canadian watershed where water supplies are effectively fully allocated. This was the first region targeted for land‐use and water‐supply planning under new provincial legislation.
Mohammad Zare   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Interdecadal Sea Surface Temperature Variability in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. Part II: The Role of Equatorial/Off-Equatorial Wind Stresses in a Hybrid Coupled Model

open access: yes, 2008
Many modeling studies have been carried out to investigate the role of oceanic Rossby waves linking the off-equatorial and equatorial Pacific Ocean. Although the equatorial ocean response to off-equatorial wind stress forcing alone tends to be relatively
McGregor, Shayne   +2 more
core   +1 more source

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