Results 101 to 110 of about 10,137 (199)

Model Ambiguity versus Model Misspecification in Dynamic Portfolio Choice

open access: yesThe Journal of Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study aversion to model ambiguity and misspecification in dynamic portfolio choice. Risk‐averse investors (relative risk aversion γ>1$\gamma > 1$) fear return persistence, while risk‐tolerant investors (0<γ<1$0<\gamma <1$) fear mean reversion, when confronting model misspecification concerns of identically and independently distributed (IID)
PASCAL J. MAENHOUT   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Density‐Valued ARMA Models by Spline Mixtures

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper proposes a novel framework for modeling time series of probability density functions by extending autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models to density‐valued data. The method is based on a transformation approach, wherein each density function on a compact domain [0,1]d$$ {\left[0,1\right]}^d $$ is approximated by a B‐spline ...
Yasumasa Matsuda, Rei Iwafuchi
wiley   +1 more source

Empirical‐Process Limit Theory and Filter Approximation Bounds for Score‐Driven Time Series Models

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This article examines the filtering and approximation‐theoretic properties of score‐driven time series models. Under specific Lipschitz‐type and tail conditions, new results are derived, leading to maximal and deviation inequalities for the filtering approximation error using empirical process theory.
Enzo D'Innocenzo
wiley   +1 more source

Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley   +1 more source

Is A Little Learning Dangerous?

open access: yesNoûs, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT I argue that a little learning is often dangerous even for ideal reasoners who are operating in extremely simple scenarios and know all the relevant facts about how the evidence is generated. More precisely, I show that, on many plausible ways of assigning value to a credence in a hypothesis H, ideal Bayesians should sometimes expect other ...
Bernhard Salow
wiley   +1 more source

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