A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios
ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Market Interconnectedness
ABSTRACT While the existing research uncovers interconnections between various housing markets, it largely ignores the question of whether such linkages can improve house price predictions. To address this issue, we proceed in two steps. First, we forecast disaggregated house price growth rates from Australia and China to determine whether ...
Zac Chen +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Predicting instabilities in transient landforms and interconnected ecosystems. [PDF]
Smith T, Morr A, Bookhagen B, Boers N.
europepmc +1 more source
Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley +1 more source
Understanding Peelle's Pertinent Puzzle bias in generalized least squares regression through eigenspectrum analysis. [PDF]
Walton NAW +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Practice adoption in MNCS: A multi‐level interactionist model of trait activation
Abstract Research Summary Sharing knowledge through organizational practices is an important source of advantage for multinational corporations (MNCs). While prior research on practice adoption by subsidiaries of MNCs has identified several individual and organizational factors, this study examines their interplay in the context of HQ‐mandated ...
Sven Kunisch +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Approaches to Exceptional Points in the Framework of Non-Hermitian Random Matrices. [PDF]
Benisty H.
europepmc +1 more source
An Unfolding Story: AlphaFold's View on Protein Flexibility
AlphaFold confidence measures allow for detailed proteome‐wide characterization of protein flexibility. All flexibility measures increased substantially in the evolutionary transition from prokaryota to eukaryota. ABSTRACT The AlphaFold confidence measures are related to conformation distribution of the protein.
Gunnar Jeschke
wiley +1 more source
Early psychosocial deprivation alters the refinement of neural dynamics across adolescence. [PDF]
Andujar M +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
How Signals of Silence Sustain Sexual Harassment and What to Do About It
ABSTRACT Sexual harassment has persisted for decades as an open secret within organizations, creating an ongoing challenge for Human Resource practitioners. Many employees experience or witness harassment yet say nothing. When they contemplate complaining, they are discouraged from doing so. Some still muster the courage to speak out about these abuses,
Angela L. Workman‐Stark +6 more
wiley +1 more source

