Results 231 to 240 of about 540,755 (305)

Estimating the economic burden of diabetes in young adults: A global analysis based on the GBD 2021 and a value of statistical life year framework. [PDF]

Diabet Med
Guo H, Guo Z, Liu Y, Zhang Q.
europepmc   +1 more source

Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley   +1 more source

The Global Economic Burden of Tuberculosis: Regional Disparities and Implications. [PDF]

Open Forum Infect Dis
Wang JC, Zuo QY, Zheng JX, Lv WW, Wang W, Zhang SX.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis, Dimitrios Bakas, Theodora Bermpei, Athanasios Triantafyllou   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Hybrid Model for Copper Futures Price Forecasting Utilizing Complexity-Aware Variational Mode Decomposition and Reconstruction and Multi-Behavior-Triggered Interaction Modeling. [PDF]

Entropy (Basel)
Li Y, Liu D.
europepmc   +1 more source

Global Insights Into Term Spreads: Unveiling Their Predictive Power During Unconventional Monetary Policy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study investigates the predictive power of the term spread for forecasting economic activity across both conventional and unconventional monetary policy regimes. Utilizing data from 22 OECD countries spanning the period from 1985Q1 to 2024Q2, the analysis reveals that the term spread generally maintains its ability to predict GDP growth ...
Petri Kuosmanen, Juuso Vataja
wiley   +1 more source

Policy solutions to ameliorate the negative impact of aging on economic productivity: a systematic review. [PDF]

SSM Popul Health
Lin TK, Werner K, Mitchell A, Hamza MM, De Marco G, Herbst CH.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Identifying Drivers of Deviations From Rational Expectations: Using a New Irrational Index for Inflation Forecasts

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Most studies on inflation forecasts have studied behavioral biases, informational frictions, or external shocks in isolation, without considering how these factors jointly drive deviations from rational expectations. We therefore adopt an integrated framework that simultaneously estimates the behavioral, informational, and external ...
Belen Chocobar, Peter Claeys
wiley   +1 more source

Economic and Financial Determinants of Pharmaceutical Stock Returns: Evidence from Panel Data Analysis. [PDF]

Med J Islam Repub Iran
Mojahedian M, Takamoli H, Ahmadi Teymourlouy A, Nabizadeh A, Zartab S.   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source