Results 191 to 200 of about 15,607 (298)

Point and Risk estImation Using an enSemble of Models for Nowcasting: PRISM‐Now

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose PRISM‐Now, a novel ensemble forecasting system for near‐term GDP projection. Recognizing that relevant economic information evolves over time, we treat forecasts from multiple base models as draws from a mixture distribution of “good” and “bad” estimates, whose composition changes continuously and cannot be identified ex ante.
Beomseok Seo, Hyungbae Cho, Dongjae Lee
wiley   +1 more source

The romantics to Rodin [PDF]

open access: yes, 1980
Price, Aimée Brown
core  

Nowcasting World Trade With Machine Learning: A Three‐Step Approach

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We nowcast world trade using machine learning, distinguishing between tree‐based methods (random forest and gradient boosting) and their linear‐regression‐based counterparts (macroeconomic random forest and gradient boosting—linear). While much less used in the literature, the latter are found to outperform not only the tree‐based techniques ...
Menzie Chinn   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

On the Comovement of Contango and Backwardation Across Futures Commodity Markets

open access: yesJournal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We examine the time‐varying nature of the comovement of the slope of the futures curve in major agricultural, metals and energy commodity futures markets in a Global Vector Autoregressive model. We find significant comovement between the slopes, indicating the co‐existence of backwardation and contango in many seemingly unrelated commodity ...
Angelo Luisi   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Analysing the Drivers of Cropland Footprint in Leading Agricultural Nations: Evidence From MMQR Approach

open access: yesGeological Journal, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Climate change represents the biggest current challenge for us and for future generations. Its impact on agriculture is undeniable, considering the food security goal. Thus, the cropland footprint has been distinguished as a comprehensive index for assessing the impact of environmental changes in agricultural areas determined by the increased ...
Ibrahim Cutcu, Magdalena Radulescu
wiley   +1 more source

Catatonia in ICD-11. [PDF]

open access: yesBMC Psychiatry
Rogers JP, Wilson JE, Oldham MA.
europepmc   +1 more source

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