Results 31 to 40 of about 14,044 (266)

Modelling foreign exchange rates: a comparison between markov-switching and markov-switching GARCH

open access: yesIndonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 2020
Foreign exchange rate is important as it determines a country's economic condition. It is used to carry out transfers of purchasing power between two or more countries. Volatility in exchange rates may result in difficulty in decision making especially, in financial sectors as high volatility could increase the risk in exchange rates.
Nunian, Mohd Azizi Amin   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Control problem for the impulse process under stochastic optimization procedure and Levy conditions

open access: yesМатематичні Студії, 2021
A stochastic approximation procedure and a limit generator of the original problem are constructed for a system of stochastic differential equations with Markov switching and impulse perturbation under Levy approximation conditions with control, which is
Ya. M. Chabanyuk   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Prediction of PM2.5 pollution in Tehran air based on temperature and pressure using Markovian regime-switching non-parametric additive transitive regression model [PDF]

open access: yesریاضی و جامعه, 2023
In this paper, we introduce the Markovian regime-switching regression model, which is a graphical model based on the hidden Markov model. This model can be viewed as a clustered regression model, in which a Markov process models the transition from one ...
Morteza Amini
doaj   +1 more source

Long memory with Markov-Switching GARCH [PDF]

open access: yesEconomics Letters, 2008
The paper considers the Markov-Switching GARCH(1,1)-model with time-varying transition probabilities. It derives sufficient conditions for the square of the process to display long memory and provides some additional intuition for the empirical observation that estimated GARCH-parameters often sum to almost one.
openaire   +6 more sources

Exchange Rates and Markov Switching Dynamics [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2004
This article presents a systematic and extensive empirical study on the presence of Markov switching dynamics in three dollar-based exchange rates. A Monte Carlo approach is adopted to circumvent the statistical inference problem inherent to the test of regime-switching behavior.
Yin-wong Cheung, Ulf G. Erlandsson
openaire   +5 more sources

Assessing Brazilian macroeconomic dynamics using a Markov-switching DSGE model

open access: yesEconomiA, 2016
The goal of this paper is to evaluate the behavior of the main parameters of the Brazilian economy through the estimation of an open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model using Bayesian methods and allowing for Markov switching of ...
Caio César Soares Gonçalves   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Markov-Switching GARCH Models in R: The MSGARCH Package

open access: yesJournal of Statistical Software, 2019
We describe the package MSGARCH, which implements Markov-switching GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) models in R with efficient C++ object-oriented programming.
David Ardia   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Dollar Exchange Rate, Adjustment to the Purchasing Power Parity, and the Interest Rate Differential

open access: yesMathematics, 2022
This study applies a Markov switching error correction model to describe the single most important real exchange rate (Deutsche mark versus US dollar) over the flexible exchange rates period from 1973 to 2004.
Michael Frömmel   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Markov Regime Switching Model for Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Toeplitz Inverse Covariance Clustering

open access: yesFrontiers in Energy Research, 2021
The rapid development of wind energy has brought a lot of uncertainty to the power system. The accurate ultra-short-term wind power prediction is the key issue to ensure the stable and economical operation of the power system.
Hang Fan   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Option Pricing with Markov Switching [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Data Science, 2021
In this article, we consider a model of time-varying volatility which generalizes the classical Black-Scholes model to include regime-switching properties. Specically, the unobservable state variables for stock uctu- ations are modeled by a Markov process, and the drift and volatility pa- rameters take dierent values depending on the state of this ...
Fuh, Cheng-Der   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source

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