Results 31 to 40 of about 14,044 (266)
Modelling foreign exchange rates: a comparison between markov-switching and markov-switching GARCH
Foreign exchange rate is important as it determines a country's economic condition. It is used to carry out transfers of purchasing power between two or more countries. Volatility in exchange rates may result in difficulty in decision making especially, in financial sectors as high volatility could increase the risk in exchange rates.
Nunian, Mohd Azizi Amin +2 more
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Control problem for the impulse process under stochastic optimization procedure and Levy conditions
A stochastic approximation procedure and a limit generator of the original problem are constructed for a system of stochastic differential equations with Markov switching and impulse perturbation under Levy approximation conditions with control, which is
Ya. M. Chabanyuk +2 more
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Prediction of PM2.5 pollution in Tehran air based on temperature and pressure using Markovian regime-switching non-parametric additive transitive regression model [PDF]
In this paper, we introduce the Markovian regime-switching regression model, which is a graphical model based on the hidden Markov model. This model can be viewed as a clustered regression model, in which a Markov process models the transition from one ...
Morteza Amini
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Long memory with Markov-Switching GARCH [PDF]
The paper considers the Markov-Switching GARCH(1,1)-model with time-varying transition probabilities. It derives sufficient conditions for the square of the process to display long memory and provides some additional intuition for the empirical observation that estimated GARCH-parameters often sum to almost one.
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Exchange Rates and Markov Switching Dynamics [PDF]
This article presents a systematic and extensive empirical study on the presence of Markov switching dynamics in three dollar-based exchange rates. A Monte Carlo approach is adopted to circumvent the statistical inference problem inherent to the test of regime-switching behavior.
Yin-wong Cheung, Ulf G. Erlandsson
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Assessing Brazilian macroeconomic dynamics using a Markov-switching DSGE model
The goal of this paper is to evaluate the behavior of the main parameters of the Brazilian economy through the estimation of an open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model using Bayesian methods and allowing for Markov switching of ...
Caio César Soares Gonçalves +2 more
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Markov-Switching GARCH Models in R: The MSGARCH Package
We describe the package MSGARCH, which implements Markov-switching GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) models in R with efficient C++ object-oriented programming.
David Ardia +4 more
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This study applies a Markov switching error correction model to describe the single most important real exchange rate (Deutsche mark versus US dollar) over the flexible exchange rates period from 1973 to 2004.
Michael Frömmel +2 more
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The rapid development of wind energy has brought a lot of uncertainty to the power system. The accurate ultra-short-term wind power prediction is the key issue to ensure the stable and economical operation of the power system.
Hang Fan +3 more
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Option Pricing with Markov Switching [PDF]
In this article, we consider a model of time-varying volatility which generalizes the classical Black-Scholes model to include regime-switching properties. Specically, the unobservable state variables for stock uctu- ations are modeled by a Markov process, and the drift and volatility pa- rameters take dierent values depending on the state of this ...
Fuh, Cheng-Der +3 more
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