Results 201 to 210 of about 698,809 (305)

Forecasting Duration in High‐Frequency Financial Data Using a Self‐Exciting Flexible Residual Point Process

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self‐exciting flexible residual point process. High‐frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy‐tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge for accurate prediction.
Kyungsub Lee
wiley   +1 more source

Temporal Robustness in Cross‐Country Gross Domestic Product Forecasting: Evidence From Classical, Regime‐Switching, and Ensemble Models

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study evaluates whether the relative performance of gross domestic product forecasting models is temporally robust across economies and changing macroeconomic conditions. Using annual real gross domestic product data from the World Bank for 177 separately reported economies and territories, we conduct a common‐vintage pseudo‐out‐of‐sample
Achilleas Tampouris, Chaido Dritsaki
wiley   +1 more source

Bayesian Multivariate Two‐Stage Volatility‐Return Models (MTS‐VR)

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper develops a class of models to capture the joint dynamics of asset returns and multivariate volatility. Owing to its two‐stage construction, this class is referred to as the multivariate two‐stage volatility‐return (MTS‐VR) model.
Zhenglyu Huang   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

From Representation to Enactment: The ABC Framework of the Translating Mind. [PDF]

open access: yesBehav Sci (Basel)
Carl M   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

State‐Dependent Market (In)Efficiency in Cryptocurrency Markets

open access: yesJournal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper develops a meta‐learning framework to test whether cryptocurrency market inefficiency is static or state‐dependent. To resolve competing claims between the Efficient and Adaptive Market Hypotheses (AMH), we construct an adaptive trading strategy using high‐frequency data for 50 major cryptocurrencies.
Sasan Barak   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Effectiveness of a Primary‐Care‐Centered Integrated Care Intervention for Stratified Cardiovascular Risk Control in China: Study Protocol for a Pragmatic Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial

open access: yesHealth Care Science, EarlyView.
This study developed a multifaceted intervention to strengthen primary care for cardiovascular risk management by leveraging both primary care and county hospitals in rural China. The purpose of this multicentre, cluster‐randomized controlled trial is to evaluate the effectiveness of intervention on the prevention of cardiovascular risks among patients
Weijia Lu   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

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