Results 71 to 80 of about 221,738 (314)
On the Comovement of Contango and Backwardation Across Futures Commodity Markets
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We examine the time‐varying nature of the comovement of the slope of the futures curve in major agricultural, metals and energy commodity futures markets in a Global Vector Autoregressive model. We find significant comovement between the slopes, indicating the co‐existence of backwardation and contango in many seemingly unrelated commodity ...
Angelo Luisi +2 more
wiley +1 more source
A Bayesian model for binary Markov chains
International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences, 2004 This note is concerned with Bayesian estimation of the transition probabilities of a binary Markov chain observed from heterogeneous individuals. The model is founded on the Jeffreys' prior which allows for transition probabilities to be correlated.
Souad Assoudou, Belkheir Essebbar
doaj +1 more source
Labor Force Participation Dynamics in the Romanian Labor Market [PDF]
We use micro data from the Romanian Labor Force Survey to analyze the effect of the restructuring process on the Romanian labor market. We identify the reallocation mechanisms at work in the Romanian labor market, and we analyze the way personal ...
Alexandru Voicu
core
A Multilevel Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo Poisson Modelling of Factors Associated With Number of Components of Antenatal Care Offered Pregnant Women In Nigeria [PDF]
, 2021 Adeniyi Francis Fagbamigbe +5 more
openalex +1 more source
Quadratic Hedging of American Options Under GARCH Models
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT American options are widely traded in financial markets, yet there is a scarcity of literature on hedging in incomplete markets. In this paper, we derive optimal hedging ratios and option values using Local Risk Minimization (LRM) and Global Risk Minimization (GRM) hedging strategies through dynamic programming.
Junmei Ma, Chen Wang, Wei Xu
wiley +1 more source
Assessment of atmospheric pollutant emissions by ships using the Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo probabilistic forecasting algorithm [PDF]
, 2022 Jiahui Liu
openalex +1 more source
International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study aims to classify pivotal fintech innovations and explore the prospects and pitfalls associated with emerging fintech services extensively discussed in the literature. We conducted a multistage systematic review of research published on fintech over the past decade from a technological perspective. Using the Preferred Reporting Items
Muhammad Imran Qureshi, Nohman Khan
wiley +1 more source
On Scalable Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo
, 2020 Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) is a general approach to carry out Bayesian inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian state space models. Our article shows how to scale up PMCMC in terms of the number of observations and parameters by expressing
Carter, Chris +2 more
core
Industry Portfolio Volatility Connections and Industry Portfolio Returns
International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper tracks dynamic connections that form among daily US industry portfolio return volatilities using a Bayesian time‐varying parameter VAR model. Market participants often focus on sectors to filter vast amounts of information, and this focus results in cross‐industry return predictability. We characterise connections that form over the
Michael Ellington +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Genetics Selection Evolution, 2019 Background Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is one of the algorithms of the Markov chain Monte Carlo method that uses Hamiltonian dynamics to propose samples that follow a target distribution.
Motohide Nishio, Aisaku Arakawa
doaj +1 more source