Results 151 to 160 of about 184,437 (258)
Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Nowcasting World Trade With Machine Learning: A Three‐Step Approach
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We nowcast world trade using machine learning, distinguishing between tree‐based methods (random forest and gradient boosting) and their linear‐regression‐based counterparts (macroeconomic random forest and gradient boosting—linear). While much less used in the literature, the latter are found to outperform not only the tree‐based techniques ...
Menzie Chinn +2 more
wiley +1 more source
On the Comovement of Contango and Backwardation Across Futures Commodity Markets
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We examine the time‐varying nature of the comovement of the slope of the futures curve in major agricultural, metals and energy commodity futures markets in a Global Vector Autoregressive model. We find significant comovement between the slopes, indicating the co‐existence of backwardation and contango in many seemingly unrelated commodity ...
Angelo Luisi +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Quadratic Hedging of American Options Under GARCH Models
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT American options are widely traded in financial markets, yet there is a scarcity of literature on hedging in incomplete markets. In this paper, we derive optimal hedging ratios and option values using Local Risk Minimization (LRM) and Global Risk Minimization (GRM) hedging strategies through dynamic programming.
Junmei Ma, Chen Wang, Wei Xu
wiley +1 more source
Geological Journal, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Climate change represents the biggest current challenge for us and for future generations. Its impact on agriculture is undeniable, considering the food security goal. Thus, the cropland footprint has been distinguished as a comprehensive index for assessing the impact of environmental changes in agricultural areas determined by the increased ...
Ibrahim Cutcu, Magdalena Radulescu
wiley +1 more source
International Journal of Cancer, EarlyView.What's New? Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is an aggressive cancer with poor survival and variable response to perioperative chemotherapy. Although histopathological features correlate with outcomes, the relationship specifically between adherens junction (AJ) protein expression and treatment response in EAC remains uncertain.
Bastian Grothey +8 more
wiley +1 more source
International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study examines risk transmission and co‐movements between financial markets (G7 countries and China) and commodity markets (gold and oil) during the COVID‐19 crisis. Daily closing prices for major equity indices (CAC40, CSI300, DAX30, FTSE100, MIB, NIKKEI, TSX and S&P500) and futures prices for gold, brent and WTI were analysed using DCC ...
V. Moutinho +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Markov decision processes: a tool for sequential decision making under uncertainty. [PDF]
Med Decis Making, 2010 Alagoz O +3 more
europepmc +1 more source