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Optimal Test for Markov Switching Parameters

Econometrica, 2014
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Carrasco, Marine   +2 more
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ON THE STATIONARITY OF MARKOV-SWITCHING GARCH PROCESSES

Econometric Theory, 2007
Summary: Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models with Markov-switching regimes are often used for volatility analysis of financial time series. Such models imply less persistence in the conditional variance than the standard GARCH models and potentially provide a significant improvement in volatility forecasts ...
Abramson, Ari, Cohen, Israel
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On the Markov switching welfare cost of inflation

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2019
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Dai, Wei, Serletis, Apostolos
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Offline fitting Markov switching model

Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, 2019
Markov regime switching models remain enormously popular in speech recognition, economics, finance, etc. Nonparametric segmentation in switching models without probability assignment of jump moments is in many papers by Brodsky and Darkhovsky. We model all regimes as long SCOT strings.
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A Stochastic Volatility Model With Markov Switching

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1998
This article presents a new way of modeling time-varying volatility. We generalize the usual stochastic volatility models to encompass regime-switching properties. The unobserved state variables are governed by a first-order Markov process. Bayesian estimators are constructed by Gibbs sampling.
Li, WK, So, MKP, Lam, K
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Indirect Estimation of Markov Switching Models with Endogenous Switching [PDF]

open access: possible, 2005
Markov Switching models have been successfully applied to many economic problems. The most popular version of these models implies that the change in the state is driven by a Markov Chain and that the state is an exogenous discrete unobserved variable. This hypothesis seems to be too restrictive.
OTRANTO E   +2 more
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A Family of Markov‐Switching Garch Processes

Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2012
This paper develops a family of Markov‐switching GARCH (MSG) processes that not only encompasses some specifications in the literature, but also can be regarded as a Markov‐switching version of the family of GARCH processes introduced byHe and Teräsvirta (J. Econometrics, 1999, 92, 173–192).
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Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models

International Journal of Forecasting, 2015
Abstract This paper introduces regime switching parameters to the Mixed-Frequency VAR model. We begin by discussing estimation and inference for Markov-switching Mixed-Frequency VAR (MSMF-VAR) models. Next, we assess the finite sample performance of the technique in Monte-Carlo experiments.
Foroni, Claudia   +2 more
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The multi-chain Markov switching model

Journal of Forecasting, 2005
In many real phenomena the behaviour of a certain variable, subject to different regimes, depends on the state of other variables or the same variable observed in other subjects, so the knowledge of the state of the latter could be important to forecast the state of the former. In this paper a particular multivariate Markov switching model is developed
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INTEGRATED MARKOV-SWITCHING GARCH PROCESS

Econometric Theory, 2009
This paper investigates stationarity of the so-called integrated Markov-switching generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic (GARCH) process, which is an important subclass of the Markov-switching GARCH process introduced by Francq, Roussignol, and Zakoïan (2001,Journal of Time Series Analysis22,197–220) and a Markov-switching version of ...
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