Results 41 to 50 of about 111,800 (195)
Option Pricing with Markov Switching [PDF]
Journal of Data Science, 2021 In this article, we consider a model of time-varying volatility which generalizes the classical Black-Scholes model to include regime-switching properties. Specically, the unobservable state variables for stock uctu- ations are modeled by a Markov process, and the drift and volatility pa- rameters take dierent values depending on the state of this ...
Fuh, Cheng-Der +3 more
openaire +1 more source
Structural vector autoregressions with Markov switching [PDF]
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2010 zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
LUETKEPOHL, Helmut +2 more
openaire +4 more sources
Understanding Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Models [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2009 zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Roger E.A. Farmer +2 more
openaire +3 more sources
MathematicsRegime switching models have been widely studied for their ability to capture the dynamic behavior of time series data and are widely used in economic and financial data analysis.
Zhenni Tan, Yuehua Wu
doaj +1 more source
MARKOV SWITCHING AND THE TAYLOR PRINCIPLE [PDF]
Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2013 Early research on the Taylor rule typically divided the data exogenously into pre-Volcker and Volcker–Greenspan subsamples. We contribute to the recent trend of endogenizing changes in monetary policy by estimating a real-time forward-looking Taylor rule with endogenous Markov switching coefficients and variance.
Christian Murray +2 more
openaire +1 more source
Optimal Control with Partially Observed Regime Switching: Discounted and Average Payoffs
Mathematics, 2022 We consider an optimal control problem with the discounted and average payoff. The reward rate (or cost rate) can be unbounded from above and below, and a Markovian switching stochastic differential equation gives the state variable dynamic.
Beatris Adriana Escobedo-Trujillo +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Markov Switching Model for Financial Time Series [PDF]
Ovidius University Annals: Economic Sciences Series, 2021 Modeling financial time series is an important step for its forecast and risk evaluation when financial assets are involved. In this context, this article presents a Markov Switching Model for BET series recorded during the period Oct-2000 - Sept-2014 ...
Alina Barbulescu +1 more
doaj
Optimal Forecasts from Markov Switching Models [PDF]
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2014 We derive forecasts for Markov switching models that are optimal in the MSFE sense by means of weighting observations. We provide analytic expressions of the weights conditional on the Markov states and conditional on state probabilities. This allows us to study the effect of uncertainty around states on forecasts.
Boot, Tom, Pick, Andreas
openaire +2 more sources
Markov Switching Vector Autoregressive Modelling of the Nigerian Stock Price and Oil Price Series
Quantitative Economics Research, 2018 This article studied the relationship between stock prices and crude oil prices of Nigeria using a Markov switching model. Certain properties of the stock price series and crude oil price series such as breaks and stationarity, which are necessary before
Emmanuel W Okereke +1 more
doaj +1 more source
Theory and inference for a Markov switching GARCH model [PDF]
We develop a Markov-switching GARCH model (MS-GARCH) wherein the conditional mean and variance switch in time from one GARCH process to another. The switching is governed by a hidden Markov chain. We provide sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity
BAUWENS, Luc +2 more
core +6 more sources