Results 31 to 40 of about 14,010 (266)

Modelling foreign exchange rates: a comparison between markov-switching and markov-switching GARCH

open access: yesIndonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 2020
Foreign exchange rate is important as it determines a country's economic condition. It is used to carry out transfers of purchasing power between two or more countries. Volatility in exchange rates may result in difficulty in decision making especially, in financial sectors as high volatility could increase the risk in exchange rates.
Nunian, Mohd Azizi Amin   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Markov Switching in Disaggregate Unemployment Rates [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2001
We develop a dynamic factor model with Markov switching to examine secular and business cycle fluctuations in the U.S. unemployment rates. We extract the common dynamics amongst unemployment rates disaggregated for 7 age groups. The framework allows analysis of the contribution of demographic factors to secular changes in unemployment rates.
Marcelle Chauvet   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Exchange Rates and Markov Switching Dynamics [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2004
This article presents a systematic and extensive empirical study on the presence of Markov switching dynamics in three dollar-based exchange rates. A Monte Carlo approach is adopted to circumvent the statistical inference problem inherent to the test of regime-switching behavior.
Yin-wong Cheung, Ulf G. Erlandsson
openaire   +5 more sources

Assessing Brazilian macroeconomic dynamics using a Markov-switching DSGE model

open access: yesEconomiA, 2016
The goal of this paper is to evaluate the behavior of the main parameters of the Brazilian economy through the estimation of an open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model using Bayesian methods and allowing for Markov switching of ...
Caio César Soares Gonçalves   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Long memory with Markov-Switching GARCH [PDF]

open access: yesEconomics Letters, 2008
The paper considers the Markov-Switching GARCH(1,1)-model with time-varying transition probabilities. It derives sufficient conditions for the square of the process to display long memory and provides some additional intuition for the empirical observation that estimated GARCH-parameters often sum to almost one.
openaire   +6 more sources

Markov-Switching GARCH Models in R: The MSGARCH Package

open access: yesJournal of Statistical Software, 2019
We describe the package MSGARCH, which implements Markov-switching GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) models in R with efficient C++ object-oriented programming.
David Ardia   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Markov-Switching Model of Inflation in Bolivia [PDF]

open access: yesEconomies, 2021
The Bolivian inflation process is analyzed utilizing a time-varying univariate and multivariate Markov-switching model (TMS). With monthly data and, beginning in the late 1930s, inflation is accurately described by a univariate TMS. The intercept for the high-inflation regime is significantly higher than for the low-inflation regime and the actual ...
openaire   +3 more sources

Optimal mean-variance reinsurance and investment strategy with constraints in a non-Markovian regime-switching model

open access: yesStatistical Theory and Related Fields, 2020
This paper is devoted to study the proportional reinsurance/new business and investment problem under the mean-variance criterion in a continuous-time setting.
Liming Zhang, Rongming Wang, Jiaqin Wei
doaj   +1 more source

Portfolio selection using risk parity and factor analysis under markov regime-switching prope [PDF]

open access: yesتصمیم گیری و تحقیق در عملیات, 2022
Purpose: Risk parity is one of the stock portfolio selection models that has received a lot of attention since the US national financial crisis in 2008. The philosophy of this model is to allocate an equal amount of portfolio risk between the assets.
Ebrahim Mirmohammadi   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Evaluation of fall‐seeded cover crops for grassland nesting waterfowl in eastern South Dakota

open access: yesWildlife Society Bulletin, EarlyView., 2023
Cover crops are experiencing a revival among Midwestern farmers, and we assessed their attractiveness and safety for nesting ducks in South Dakota. Nest success was markedly lower in cover crops than in perennial cover during both years of our study, including 2019 which was a best‐case scenario for cover crops, with extremely wet conditions delaying ...
Charles W. Gallman   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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