The Markov switching ACD model [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2002 We propose a new framework for modelling time dependence in duration processes on financial markets. The well known autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) approach introduced by Engle and Russell (1998) will be extended in a way that allows the ...
Hujer, Reinhard +2 more
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Markov-switching generalized additive models [PDF]
Statistics and Computing, 2015 We consider Markov-switching regression models, i.e. models for time series regression analyses where the functional relationship between covariates and response is subject to regime switching controlled by an unobservable Markov chain.
Glennie, Richard +3 more
core +5 more sources
Optimal Portfolio Selection in an Itô–Markov Additive Market
Risks, 2019 We study a portfolio selection problem in a continuous-time Itô–Markov additive market with prices of financial assets described by Markov additive processes that combine Lévy processes and regime switching models.
Zbigniew Palmowski +2 more
doaj +3 more sources
Misspecified Markov Switching Model [PDF]
Economics Bulletin, 2009 I characterize the local power of an optimal test for a Markov Switching model under generalized alternatives. The result shows that the test still has power for the model with endogenous stochastic parameters unless they are orthogonal to the score ...
Youngki Shin
core +1 more source
Markov-Switching Model Selection Using Kullback-Leibler Divergence [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2005 In Markov-switching regression models, we use Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the true and candidate models to select the number of states and variables simultaneously.
Naik, Prasad A. +2 more
core +6 more sources
Comparing the different types of Markov switching model for Euro to Iran Rial exchange rate [PDF]
Mathematics and Modeling in Finance, 2021 According to the rule of equality of equal prices, the price of a foreign commodity within a country depends on the price of the commodity at the origin as well as the exchange rate of that country.
Mahdi Pourrafiee +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Prediction of PM2.5 pollution in Tehran air based on temperature and pressure using Markovian regime-switching non-parametric additive transitive regression model [PDF]
ریاضی و جامعه, 2023 In this paper, we introduce the Markovian regime-switching regression model, which is a graphical model based on the hidden Markov model. This model can be viewed as a clustered regression model, in which a Markov process models the transition from one ...
Morteza Amini
doaj +1 more source
Fault-Tolerant Control of Second-Order Nonlinear Multi-Agent Formation Under Markov Switching Topology [PDF]
Jisuanji gongcheng, 2023 To solve the problems of communication signal loss and controller failure in the formation control of multi-agent systems, this paper proposes a fault-tolerant control protocol for second-order nonlinear multi-agent system leader-follower formation with ...
Lingcong OUYANG, Kaijun YANG, Zhixiong ZHANG
doaj +1 more source
Switching Control of Closed-Loop Supply Chain Systems with Markov Jump Parameters
Applied Sciences, 2023 The switching system model of a closed-loop supply chain with Markov jump parameters is established. The system is modeled as a switching system with Markov jump parameters, taking into account the uncertainties of the process and the inventory decay ...
Huiming Wu, Sicong Guo
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Efficient estimation of Markov-switching model with application in stock price classification [PDF]
Mathematics and Modeling in Finance, 2021 In this paper, we discuss the calibration of the geometric Brownian motion model equipped with Markov-switching factor. Since the motivation for this research comes from a recent stream of literature in stock economics, we propose an efficient estimation
Farshid Mehrdoust +2 more
doaj +1 more source