We propose a new method for treating different timescales in coupled variational data assimilation for atmosphere–ocean models. The approach involves a series of short‐window coupled assimilations (red arrows in the schematic) followed by a long‐window correction to the ocean fields (blue arrow).
Amos S. Lawless +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Simulating the Fate of Dimethyl Sulfide (DMS) in the Atmosphere: A Review of Emission and Chemical Parameterizations. [PDF]
Pino-Cortés E +9 more
europepmc +1 more source
Polar‐low track prediction using machine‐learning methods
Machine‐learning models are developed to produce reliable and efficient forecasts of polar‐low (PL) trajectories 12 hours ahead. A temporal model (RLSTM) benefiting from the rolling‐forecast strategy, improves overall prediction accuracy and is suitable for quick experimentation, while a spatiotemporal model (PL‐UNet), incorporating both historical and
Ziying Yang +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Magnitude uncertainty dominates intermodel spread in zonal-mean precipitation response to anthropogenic aerosol increase. [PDF]
Geng YF +7 more
europepmc +1 more source
How consistently do ensemble prediction systems represent the growth of atmospheric uncertainty?
Spread‐based diagnostics calculated for 12 ensemble prediction systems are compared to understand the consistency with which they represent atmospheric uncertainty growth. Good correlation between all these systems is found in the extratropics for a lead time range from 48 hr to between 96 hr and 192 hr.
Douglas Wood +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Climate Matters: Integrating Bioclimatology into Dengue Vector Control within the One Health Framework. [PDF]
Adnyana IMDM +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
NowPrecip 2: Precipitation nowcasting in the complex terrain of Switzerland. Part I: Methods
In this work we present the methods of the areal precipitation nowcasting system NowPrecip version 2. In this version a new methodology is introduced, which, although it shares philosophy and techniques with the original methodology of NowPrecip version 1, can be considered as distinct from that.
I. V. Sideris +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Explaining and predicting the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet. [PDF]
Mindlin J +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
This study develops a method to identify the source areas of precipitation events, as illustrated for the western part of the Netherlands. Radar‐based precipitation data are traced back to their source areas and machine‐learning techniques are used to identify hypothesized causes: urban heat, surface roughness, and air pollution. We find that urban and
Jelmer van der Graaff +1 more
wiley +1 more source
Near future projections of tropical cyclone tracks over the Bay of Bengal using high resolution CMIP6 models. [PDF]
Adsul R +3 more
europepmc +1 more source

