Results 231 to 240 of about 107,005 (279)

An opportunity index to anticipate when subseasonal predictions are useful

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Simultaneously active subseasonal windows of forecast opportunity can be combined into a single opportunity index, which can be used operationally to anticipate enhanced or reduced subseasonal prediction skill. For predictions of temperature anomalies in Switzerland during summer—a region and season with particularly low predictability—skill can nearly
Dominik Büeler, Maria Pyrina, Adel Imamovic, Christoph Spirig, Daniela I. V. Domeisen   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Fixed point-based stability analysis of climate and Langevin models. [PDF]

PLoS One
Shah SK, Ahmed WE, Alabdi I, Alahmade A, Aldwoah K, Hassan EI.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Intensity dependence of El Niño and La Niña evolution and mixed‐layer heat‐budget processes

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) intensity modulates the spatial, temporal, and dynamical evolution of events strongly. El Niño SST anomalies shift westward with decreasing intensity, while La Niña anomalies remain spatially fixed. Stronger events initiate earlier and persist longer than weak events.
Parya Adibi, Reza Rezaian, Omid Alizadeh, Tobias Sauter   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Developing an optimized parameterization scheme for deriving a lightning threat product from a global model for all seasons over India. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Mohan GM, Sandhya M, Jayakumar A, Anurose TJ, Mohandas S, Prasad VS.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

A structurally localized ensemble Kalman filtering approach

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We derive an inherently localized ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) approach, avoiding the need for any auxiliary localization technique. The idea is to first use the variational Bayesian optimization to approximate the (continuous) state analysis probability density function (pdf) by a product of independent marginal pdfs corresponding to small ...
Boujemaa Ait‐El‐Fquih, Ibrahim Hoteit   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Role of Hydrometeorological Factors in Leptospirosis Transmission in Central Java, Indonesia. [PDF]

J Prev Med Public Health
Saputra YA, Armawan LVA, Lisa M, Muharramah DH, Pratiwi LD.   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

NowPrecip 2: Precipitation nowcasting in the complex terrain of Switzerland. Part II: Verification

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
In this work we present the verification of the NowPrecip precipitation nowcasting systems (version 1 and version 2). Using 3.5 years of data over the period 2020–2023, their performance is compared with PySTEPS and the ICON numerical weather prediction ensemble by computing deterministic and probabilistic metrics.
A. Ntoumos, I. V. Sideris, A. Berne, A. Hering, P. Juda, M. Gabella, M. Boscacci, L. Clementi, U. Germann   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

Assessing future changes in tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin through dynamical downscaling. [PDF]

iScience
Pérez-Alarcón A, Trigo RM, Nieto R, Gimeno L.   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Precipitable water in cloudy areas from combined solar, thermal, and microwave radiance measurements: Literature study on existing TPW measurements in cloudy area [PDF]

, 2004
Hauschildt, Heike, Macke, Andreas
core  

Are we misdiagnosing ensemble forecast reliability? On the insufficiency of spread–error and rank‐based reliability metrics

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We demonstrate that the spread–error relationship, rank histogram, and continuous rank probability score reliability component can falsely indicate reliability under climatological variance biases, yielding ensemble members that are overly or insufficiently extreme.
Arlan Dirkson, Mark Buehner
wiley   +1 more source