Results 11 to 20 of about 2,165,044 (267)

Model Fit and Model Selection [PDF]

open access: yesReview, 2007
This paper uses an example to show that a model that fits the available data perfectly may pro vide worse answers to policy questions than an alternative, imperfectly fitting model. The author argues that, in the context of Bayesian estimation, this result can be interpreted as being due to the use of an inappropriate prior over the parameters of shock
openaire   +2 more sources

Spherical Minimum Description Length

open access: yesEntropy, 2018
We consider the problem of model selection using the Minimum Description Length (MDL) criterion for distributions with parameters on the hypersphere.
Trevor Herntier   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Making predictive modelling ART: accurate, reliable, and transparent

open access: yesEcosphere, 2020
Models are increasingly being used for prediction in ecological research. The ability to generate accurate and robust predictions is necessary to help respond to ecosystem change and to further scientific research.
Korryn Bodner   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Model Selection in Threshold Models [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, 2001
This paper considers information criteria as model evaluation tools for nonlinear threshold models. Results concerning the consistency of information criteria in selecting the lag order of linear autoregressive models are extended to nonlinear autoregressive threshold models.
openaire   +2 more sources

On the Selection of Forecasting Models [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2003
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Inoue, Atsushi, Kilian, Lutz
openaire   +4 more sources

Should Selection of the Optimum Stochastic Mortality Model Be Based on the Original or the Logarithmic Scale of the Mortality Rate?

open access: yesRisks, 2023
Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models—in terms, that is,
Miguel Santolino
doaj   +1 more source

Computational Nosology and Precision Psychiatry [PDF]

open access: yesComputational Psychiatry, 2017
This article provides an illustrative treatment of psychiatric morbidity that offers an alternative to the standard nosological model in psychiatry. It considers what would happen if we treated diagnostic categories not as causes of signs and symptoms ...
Karl J. Friston   +2 more
doaj   +3 more sources

A model of selective migration [PDF]

open access: yesHeredity, 1974
Individuals migrating between populations are normally assumed to be drawn at random from their base populations; migration is then a strong unifying force between the populations. Phenotypic assortment of migrants could however cause populations to diverge. A model is formulated to describe the effects of such selective migration on a metric character,
openaire   +1 more source

Antibiotic Resistances in Livestock: A Comparative Approach to Identify an Appropriate Regression Model for Count Data

open access: yesFrontiers in Veterinary Science, 2017
Antimicrobial resistance in livestock is a matter of general concern. To develop hygiene measures and methods for resistance prevention and control, epidemiological studies on a population level are needed to detect factors associated with antimicrobial ...
Anke Hüls   +8 more
doaj   +1 more source

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