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Transmission by pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic viral carriers makes intervention and containment of the COVID-19 extremely challenging. Here, the authors construct an epidemiological model that focuses on transmission around the symptom onset ...
Liang Tian +11 more
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Business Models as Models [PDF]
Drawing on research undertaken in the history and philosophy of science, with particular reference to the extensive literature which discusses the use of models in biology and economics, we explore the question ‘Are Business Models useful?’ We point out that they act as various forms of model: to provide means to describe and classify businesses; to ...
Baden-Fuller, C., Morgan, M.S.
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Schistosomiasis remains one of the neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) impacting millions of people around the world. The World Health Organization (WHO) recently proposed a goal of elimination as a public health problem (EPHP) for schistosomiasis to be ...
NTD Modelling Consortium Schistosomiasis Group
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Background In drug development, few molecules from a large pool of early candidates become successful medicines after demonstrating a favourable benefit-risk ratio.
Chao Chen +4 more
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Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is a neglected tropical disease (NTD) caused by Leishmania protozoa that are transmitted by female sand flies. On the Indian subcontinent (ISC), VL is targeted by the World Health Organization (WHO) for elimination as a public
NTD Modelling Consortium Visceral Leishmaniasis Group
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Between June and August 2020, an agent-based model was used to project rates of COVID-19 infection incidence and cases diagnosed as positive from 15 September to 31 October 2020 for 72 geographic settings.
Farah Houdroge +11 more
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Protocol for the production of micro- and nanoplastic test materials
Micro- and nanoplastics (MNP) are ubiquitous, but little is known about the risks they pose to human health. Currently available data are of limited use for developing relevant risk assessments due to poor quality control, the lack of a standardised ...
Luke A. Parker +8 more
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Modeling Model Uncertainty [PDF]
Recently there has been a great deal of interest in studying monetary policy under model uncertainty. We develop new methods to analyze different sources of uncertainty in one coherent structure, which is useful for policy decisions. We show how to estimate the size of the uncertainty based on time series data, and how to incorporate this uncertainty ...
Onatski, Alexei, Williams, Noah
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Soil-transmitted helminths (STHs) are a group of parasitic worms that infect humans, causing a wide spectrum of disease, notably anaemia, growth retardation, and delayed cognitive development.
NTD Modelling Consortium discussion group on soil-transmitted helminths
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The influence of Holmium substitution on the magnetic and mechanical properties of Nd2Fe14B: a first principle study [PDF]
In this study, the ab initio density functional theory (DFT) approach is used to investigate the effect of Holmium (Ho) on the magnetic and mechanical properties of Nd2Fe14B magnets.
Baloyi Mphamela Enos +2 more
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