Results 141 to 150 of about 110,803 (293)

What do Bayesian methods offer population forecasters?

, 2010
The Bayesian approach has a number of attractive properties for probabilistic forecasting. In this paper, we apply Bayesian time series models to obtain future population estimates with uncertainty for England and Wales.
Abel, Guy J., Bijak, Jakub, Forster, Jonathan J., Raymer, James, Smith, Peter W.F.   +4 more
core  

The Renal Activity Index for Lupus Identifies Active Renal Disease and Treatment Response in Adult Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and Lupus Nephritis

Arthritis Care &Research, EarlyView.
Objective We evaluated the ability of the Renal Activity Index for Lupus (RAIL) to discriminate active lupus nephritis (LN) in adult patients with active systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and differentiate LN treatment response. Methods Urine samples from adults with biopsy‐proven active class III and IV LN from TULIP‐LN (active LN group ...
Hermine I. Brunner, Ellen M. Cody, Prasad Devarajan, Bin Huang, Chen Chen, Dominic Sinibaldi, Madhu Ramaswamy, Jacob Knagenhjelm, Frederick Jones, Philip Z. Brohawn, Raj Tummala, Catharina Lindholm, Wendy I. White   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

Short-term mortality forecasting

Short-term mortality forecasts are crucial for understanding the impact of sudden mortality shocks, whether resulting from pandemics, heat waves, or other emergencies. Reliable seasonal mortalitypredictions can help identify vulnerable groups within populations or across geographical regions, enabling more targeted interventions.
openaire   +2 more sources

Validation of a Genetic Risk Score Combined With Clinical Variables for Predicting Pulmonary Fibrosis in Early Rheumatoid Arthritis

Arthritis Care &Research, EarlyView.
Objective Pulmonary fibrosis (PF) is a severe extra‐articular manifestation of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). This study aimed to externally validate a genetic risk score (GRS) and a combined risk score (CRS) for predicting the risk of RA‐associated PF in an independent cohort of patients with early RA.
Mikael Brink, Austin Wheeler, Bryant R. England, Solbritt Rantapää‐Dahlqvist   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics, and Safety of Subcutaneous Belimumab in Pediatric Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: A Multicenter, Open‐Label Trial

Arthritis Care &Research, EarlyView.
Objective This study aimed to characterize the pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, safety, and exploratory efficacy of subcutaneous belimumab in pediatric patients with active systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) receiving standard therapy. Methods This single‐arm, multicenter, open‐label trial (GSK study 200908; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier ...
Hermine I. Brunner, Jordi Antón, Inmaculada Calvo‐Penadés, Richard Dimelow, Gerd Horneff, Sylvia Kamphuis, Rebecca Marino, Andre van Maurik, Kirsten Minden, Masaaki Mori, Josephine Ocran‐Appiah, Christel Wilkinson, Yuichi Yamasaki, Deepak Assudani, for the Pediatric Rheumatology Collaborative Study Group (PRCSG) and Paediatric Rheumatology International Trials Organisation (PRINTO) Network investigators   +14 more
wiley   +1 more source

Temporal Trends and Short‐ and Long‐Term Mortality of People With Acute Myocardial Infarction and Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Arthritis Care &Research, EarlyView.
Objective We investigated whether a diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) affects the quality of inpatient acute myocardial infarction (AMI) care and long‐term mortality post‐AMI. Methods We analyzed data from 784,091 adults, 6,047 with a diagnosis of RA, from England and Wales hospitalized with AMI between 2005 and 2019 from the Myocardial Ischaemia ...
Megan Butler, Nicholas Weight, Muhammad Rashid, Rodrigo Bagur, Purvi Parwani, Samantha Hider, Edward Roddy, Robert Butler, Mamas A. Mamas   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

Month-to-month all-cause mortality forecasting: A method to rapidly detect changes in seasonal patterns

, 2023
Léger A, Silvia R.
europepmc   +1 more source

Marked Long‐Term Improvement in Lung Function in Melanoma Differentiation–Associated Protein 5 Antibody–Positive Dermatomyositis Patients: Experience of a Single‐Center Longitudinal Cohort in North America

Arthritis Care &Research, EarlyView.
Objective The objective of this study was to describe the longitudinal disease course and pulmonary outcomes of North American patients with melanoma differentiation–associated protein 5 (MDA5) antibody–associated dermatomyositis (DM). Methods Thirty patients with MDA5 antibody–associated DM were identified in a single‐center longitudinal cohort of 352
Jenice X. Cheah, Sangmee S. Bae, Tiffany De Leon, Yuna Lee, Rong Guo, David Elashoff, Jennifer Wang, Ani Shahbazian, Christina Charles‐Schoeman   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

Sex-specific mortality forecasting for UK countries: a coherent approach. [PDF]

Eur Actuar J, 2018
Chen RY, Millossovich P.
europepmc   +1 more source

Evaluating a Pragmatic Strength Alternative for Frailty Measurement and Assessing Its Predictive Capacity Against Established Frailty Instruments in Rheumatoid Arthritis

Arthritis Care &Research, EarlyView.
Objective Frailty occurs prematurely in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and is associated with poor health outcomes. We compared the performance of four frailty instruments, including a pragmatic alternative measure using chair sit‐to‐stand (STS), and evaluated their abilities to predict poor health outcomes.
Kylie E. Riggles, Hannah F. Brubeck, Adrienne D. Tanus, Courtney N. Loecker, Punyasha Roul, Bryant R. England, Elizabeth R. Wahl, James S. Andrews, Namrata Singh, Joshua F. Baker, Patricia P. Katz, Dolores M. Shoback, Jose M. Garcia, Ariela R. Orkaby, Katherine D. Wysham   +14 more
wiley   +1 more source