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Time-series-based forecasting of accident-related referrals to Maharaj Nakorn Chiang Mai Hospital, Northern Thailand, during each year and especially the "Seven dangerous Days" periods. [PDF]

BMC Public Health
Srikummoon P, Traisathit P, Chittawatanarat K, Chandacham K, Kittikhunakon A, Piriyahaphan T, Kawilapat S, Chotirosniramit N.   +7 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecasting Neonatal Mortality in Ethiopia to Assess Progress Toward National and International Reduction Targets Using Classical Techniques and Deep Learning: Time-Series Forecasting Study. [PDF]

Online J Public Health Inform
Kebede SD.
europepmc   +1 more source

Cohort mortality forecasts indicate signs of deceleration in life expectancy gains. [PDF]

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Andrade J, Camarda CG, Pifarré I Arolas H.   +2 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Correction: Dynamic causal models in infectious disease epidemiology-an assessment of their predictive validity based on the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK 2020 to 2024. [PDF]

Front Public Health
Bowie C, Friston K.
europepmc   +1 more source

TEMPORAL MODELS FOR ESTIMATION AND SHORT-TERM FORECASTING OF NEONATAL MORTALITY RATES IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA. [PDF]

Ann Appl Stat
Paulson KR, Fuglstad GA, Li ZR, Wakefield J.   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Survey on mathematical modeling of infectious disease dynamics: insights and applications. [PDF]

BMC Infect Dis
Eshtewy NA, Forootani A, Sisi ZA.
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecasting Waitlist Trajectories for Patients With Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis Cirrhosis: A Neural Network Competing Risk Analysis.

J Med Internet Res
Punchhi G, Sun Y, Tan E, Hlaing NKT, Liu C, Asrani S, Rambhatla S, Bhat M.   +7 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Bayesian mortality forecasting with overdispersion

, 2016
Wong, Jackie, Forster, Jon, Smith, Peter
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Mortality forecasting using stacked regression ensembles

Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2021
There are many alternative approaches to selecting mortality models and forecasting mortality. The standard practice is to produce forecasts using a single model such as the Lee-Carter, the Cairns-Blake-Dowd, or the Age- Period-Cohort model, with model selection based on in-sample goodness of fit measures.
Salvatory R. Kessy, Michael Sherris, Andrés M. Villegas, Jonathan Ziveyi   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source