Ethnic Conflicts, Civil War, and Economic Growth: Region‐Level Evidence From Former Yugoslavia
ABSTRACT This paper studies the long‐term effects of the Yugoslav civil war (1987–1995) on subnational economic growth across 78 regions in five former Yugoslav republics from 1950 to 2015. We construct counterfactual growth trajectories using a robust region‐level donor pool from 32 conflict‐free countries.
Aleksandar Kešeljević +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Understanding temporal variability in groundwater levels is essential for water resources management. In sub‐Saharan Africa, groundwater level dynamics are poorly constrained due to limited long‐term observations.
M. Ascott +9 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Climate Change Attribution Using Empirical Decomposition of Climatic Data
The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations.
Loehle, Craig, Scafetta, Nicola
core +1 more source
Cold hardiness dynamics predict budbreak and associated low‐temperature threats in grapevine
Summary Dormant buds of temperate woody perennial plants must attain cold hardiness to survive winters and timely lose it in spring to break bud while avoiding damage from low temperatures and late frosts. Therefore, we asked: Can a cold hardiness model be used to predict budbreak?
Francisco Campos‐Arguedas +8 more
wiley +1 more source
Application of the singular spectrum analysis technique to study the recent hiatus on the global surface temperature record. [PDF]
Global surface temperature has been increasing since the beginning of the 20th century but with a highly variable warming rate, and the alternation of rapid warming periods with 'hiatus' decades is a constant throughout the series. The superimposition of
Diego Macias +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Patterns of change: whose fingerprint is seen in global warming? [PDF]
Attributing observed climate change to causes is challenging. This letter communicates the physical arguments used in attribution, and the statistical methods applied to explore to what extent different possible causes can be used to explain the recent ...
+11 more
core +1 more source
DCENT‐I: A Globally Infilled Extension of the Dynamically Consistent ENsemble of Temperature Dataset
DCENT‐I infills data gaps in DCENT, producing spatially coherent temperature fields (top) and a slightly higher GMST warming estimate (bottom). Top: December 1877 temperature anomalies (°C; 1961–1990 December baseline) from DCENT (left) and DCENT‐I (right). Bottom: GMST before (DCENT, blue) and after (DCENT‐I, red) infilling.
Duo Chan +8 more
wiley +1 more source
Global mean surface temperature (GMST) fluctuates over decadal to multidecadal time scales. Patterns of internal variability are partly responsible, but the relationships can be conflated by anthropogenically forced signals.
Jules B. Kajtar +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Western Indian Ocean marine and terrestrial records of climate variability: a review and new concepts on land-ocean interactions since AD 1660 [PDF]
We examine the relationship between three tropical and two subtropical western Indian Ocean coral oxygen isotope time series to surface air temperatures (SAT) and rainfall over India, tropical East Africa and southeast Africa.
A Cherchi +73 more
core +3 more sources
PEP725: 15 years of driving European and global phenology science
Summary Phenology – the timing of seasonal biological events – is a sensitive indicator of climate change and ecosystem dynamics. Long‐term, broad‐scale phenological data are crucial for understanding and predicting plant responses to environmental change.
Barbara Templ +4 more
wiley +1 more source

