Results 31 to 40 of about 1,433 (209)

Does the fear gauge predict downside risk more accurately than econometric models? Evidence from the US stock market

open access: yesCogent Economics & Finance, 2016
This paper empirically compares the usefulness of information included in the volatility index (VIX) against several generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models for predicting downside risk in the US stock market.
Chikashi Tsuji
doaj   +1 more source

Recursive MEWMA Projections of Conditional Covolatilities in Large Portfolios [PDF]

open access: yesStatistika: Statistics and Economy Journal
Dynamic predictions of large dimensional conditional covariance matrices are considered in the context of large financial portfolios. Since numerically simple prediction methods are usually recommended for multivariate conditional covariances ...
Radek Hendrych, Tomáš Cipra
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling of the Bitcoin Volatility through Key Financial Environment Variables: An Application of Conditional Correlation MGARCH Models

open access: yesMathematics, 2021
Since the launch of Bitcoin, there has been a lot of controversy surrounding what asset class it is. Several authors recognize the potential of cryptocurrencies but also certain deviations with respect to the functions of a conventional currency. Instead,
Ángeles Cebrián-Hernández   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Cross-Hedging Portfolios in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence for the LATIBEX Index

open access: yesMathematics, 2021
We consider alternative possibilities for hedging spot positions on the FTSE LATIBEX Index, the index of the only international market exclusively for Latin American firms that is denominated by the euro. Since there is not a futures market on the index,
Pablo Urtubia   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Portfolio Optimization Using Multivariate GARCH Models: Evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange [PDF]

open access: yesتحقیقات مالی, 2011
In this paper, In order to optimize the portfolio consisting of selected industrial stocks of Petroleum products, automobiles and parts, electrical industry and extraction of minerals from Tehran Stock Exchange member, First, time – varying conditional ...
Hassan Heidari, Ahmad Molabahrami
doaj  

Estimating Portfolio Value at Risk in the Electricity Markets Using an Entropy Optimized BEMD Approach

open access: yesEntropy, 2015
In this paper, we propose a new entropy-optimized bivariate empirical mode decomposition (BEMD)-based model for estimating portfolio value at risk (PVaR). It reveals and analyzes different components of the price fluctuation.
Yingchao Zou, Lean Yu, Kaijian He
doaj   +1 more source

A multivariate realized GARCH model

open access: yesJournal of Econometrics
We propose a novel class of multivariate GARCH models that incorporate realized measures of volatility and correlations. The key innovation is an unconstrained vector parametrization of the conditional correlation matrix, which enables the use of factor models for correlations.
Archakov, Ilya   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Multivariate GARCH models: software choice and estimation issues [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Applied Econometrics, 2003
The development of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic (MGARCH) models from the original univariate specifications represented a major step forward in the modelling of time series. MGARCH models permit time-varying conditional covariances as well as variances, and the former quantity can be of substantial practical use
Brooks, Chris   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Optimal Foreign Exchange Portfolio for Iran [PDF]

open access: yesفصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران, 2010
Management of Foreign exchange reserves is important for every country. This matter is also of particular interest for Iran as an Oil exporting developing country. This paper designs an optimal portfolio for that part of foreign exchange incomes which is
Zahra Nasrollahi, Mina Shahviri,
doaj  

On Diagnostic Checking of Vector ARMA-GARCH Models with Gaussian and Student-t Innovations

open access: yesEconometrics, 2013
This paper focuses on the diagnostic checking of vector ARMA (VARMA) models with multivariate GARCH errors. For a fitted VARMA-GARCH model with Gaussian or Student-t innovations, we derive the asymptotic distributions of autocorrelation matrices of the ...
Yongning Wang, Ruey S. Tsay
doaj   +1 more source

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