Results 31 to 40 of about 2,628 (112)
Dynamic capital allocation in general insurance
Journal of Risk and Insurance, EarlyView.Abstract This paper provides a model for allocating capital to different insurance lines with varying development periods for a value‐maximizing insurance company. In our model, the company makes capitalization and exposure decisions considering its capital level and its relevant loss history.
Qiheng Guo +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Profiling the sleep architecture of ageing adults using a seven‐state continuous‐time Markov model
Journal of Sleep Research, Volume 34, Issue 2, April 2025.Summary Sleep is a complex biological process regulated by networks of neurons and environmental factors. As one falls asleep, neurotransmitters from sleep–wake regulating neurones work in synergy to control the switching of different sleep states throughout the night. As sleep disorders or underlying neuropathology can manifest as irregular switching,
Jonathon Jacobs +3 more
wiley +1 more source
A Conditional Tail Expectation Type Risk Measure for Time Series
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We consider the estimation of the conditional expectation 𝔼(Xh|X0>UX(1/p)), provided 𝔼|X0|<∞, at extreme levels, where (Xt)t∈ℤ$$ {\left({X}_t\right)}_{t\in \mathbb{Z}} $$ is a strictly stationary time series, UX$$ {U}_X $$ its tail quantile function, h$$ h $$ is a positive integer and p∈(0,1)$$ p\in \left(0,1\right) $$ is such that p→0$$ p\to ...
Yuri Goegebeur +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Traditional graph representations are insufficient for modelling real‐world phenomena involving multi‐entity interactions, such as collaborative projects or protein complexes, necessitating the use of hypergraphs. While hypergraphs preserve the intrinsic nature of such complex relationships, existing models often overlook temporal evolution in
Xianghe Zhu, Qiwei Yao
wiley +1 more source
Multiple Chains Markov Switching Vector Autoregression
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Both the U.S. stock and bond returns exhibit distinct Markovian regimes. However, because these regimes display limited coherence, conventional models typically require highly parameterized systems to adequately capture their joint distribution.
Leopoldo Catania
wiley +1 more source
On Testing for Independence Between Generalized Error Models of Several Time Series
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We define generalized innovations associated with generalized error models having arbitrary distributions, that is, distributions that can be mixtures of continuous and discrete distributions. These models include stochastic volatility models and regime‐switching models with possibly zero‐inflated regimes.
Kilani Ghoudi +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Penalized Convex Estimation in Dynamic Location Models
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper studies L1$$ {L}^1 $$‐penalized estimation for location models yt=mt+ϵt$$ {y}_t={m}_t+{\epsilon}_t $$, where mt$$ {m}_t $$ is defined by a possibly non‐Markovian recursion and ϵt$$ {\epsilon}_t $$ is a martingale difference sequence with possibly time‐varying conditional variance.
Reda Alami Chentoufi
wiley +1 more source
Measure‐valued processes for energy markets
Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Optimal Portfolio Choice With Cross‐Impact Propagators
Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We consider a class of optimal portfolio choice problems in continuous time where the agent's transactions create both transient cross‐impact driven by a matrix‐valued Volterra propagator, as well as temporary price impact. We formulate this problem as the maximization of a revenue‐risk functional, where the agent also exploits available ...
Eduardo Abi Jaber +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Never, Ever Getting Started: On Prospect Theory Without Commitment
Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Prospect theory is arguably the most prominent alternative to expected utility theory. We study the investment or gambling behavior of a prospect theory decision maker who is aware of his time‐inconsistency but lacks commitment. For the empirically relevant prospect theory specifications, we obtain the extreme prediction that such a decision ...
Sebastian Ebert, Philipp Strack
wiley +1 more source