Bayesian inverse ensemble forecasting for COVID‐19
Canadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.Abstract Variations in strains of COVID‐19 have a significant impact on the rate of surges and on the accuracy of forecasts of the epidemic dynamics. The primary goal for this article is to quantify the effects of varying strains of COVID‐19 on ensemble forecasts of individual “surges.” By modelling the disease dynamics with an SIR model, we solve the ...
Kimberly Kroetch, Don Estep
wiley +1 more source
Toward Causal Inferences in Discipline-Based Education Research: Using Regression Discontinuity Design to Understand the Effect of Classroom Interventions. [PDF]
CBE Life Sci EducXu S, Theobald EJ.
europepmc +1 more source
Nonlinear permuted Granger causality
Canadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.Abstract Granger causality is an established, contentious method that seeks causal temporal connections via association and precedence. While not true causal inference, it assists in mapping networks of information flow that may warrant further study.
Noah D. Gade, Jordan Rodu
wiley +1 more source
Copula‐based joint modelling of emergency department visits with time‐varying dependence
Canadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.Abstract Jointly modelling multiple correlated count time series is essential in health services research, where outcomes like emergency visits for mental health and substance use often evolve together. Ignoring these dependencies can obscure meaningful trends and limit the effectiveness of policy evaluation.
Guanjie Lyu, Cindy Feng, Lihui Liu
wiley +1 more source
TAN-FGBMLE: Tree-Augmented Naive Bayes Structure Learning Based on Fast Generative Bootstrap Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Continuous-Variable Classification. [PDF]
Entropy (Basel)Wei C, Zhang T, Li C, Wang P, Ye Z.
europepmc +1 more source
Canadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.Abstract This article presents a strategy for conducting regression analysis of zero‐truncated recurrent event data. The research is partly motivated by a pediatric mental health care (PMHC) program based on administrative data. We are particularly interested in how the occurrence of an event depends on its past occurrences and the associated ...
Anqi A. Chen +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Noninvasive Seizure Onset Zone Localization Using Janashia-Lagvilava Algorithm-Based Spectral Factorization in Granger Causality. [PDF]
Brain SciKasradze S +8 more
europepmc +1 more source
Vine copula knockoffs for variable selection in gene expression studies
Canadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.Abstract Identifying clinical and genetic markers is essential for stratifying cancer patients by survival outcomes and guiding personalized treatment strategies. However, gene expression studies often involve high‐dimensional predictors with mixed data types and complex dependence, which complicates reliable variable selection.
José Ulises Márquez Urbina +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Depth Imaging Through Smoke Using Nonparametric Estimation for Array Gm-APD LiDAR. [PDF]
Sensors (Basel)Zhang Y +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation of the survival function using current lifetime data
Canadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.Abstract An issue when estimating the failure time survival function is how to set up a prevalent cohort study infrastructure to follow subjects after enrollment. This problem can be circumvented through the well‐known Grenander density estimator using current lifetime observations only.
James H. McVittie, Masoud Asgharian
wiley +1 more source