Moving Aggregate Modified Autoregressive Copula‐Based Time Series Models (MAGMAR‐Copulas)
ABSTRACT Copula‐based time series models can model univariate and stationary time series in a flexible way by decomposing the joint distribution of consecutive observations into a copula and the stationary distribution. Implicitly, this approach assumes a finite Markov order. In reality, a time series may not follow the Markov property.
Sven Pappert
wiley +1 more source
Mathematical analysis of a stochastic delay model for respiratory syncytial virus dynamics. [PDF]
Raza A +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Real and Apparent Deviations From Rational Choice
ABSTRACT This paper offers a taxonomy of real and apparent deviations from rationality. The taxonomy is based on three axes of divides—whereas the axes are successive refinements. The outermost‐axis divide delineates “anxiety‐based choices” from “anxiety‐free choices.” Anxiety‐based choices are real deviations such as the Allais and Ellsberg paradoxes ...
Elias L. Khalil
wiley +1 more source
Delay-driven dynamics in a host-vector model of canine Chagas disease. [PDF]
Raza A +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Never, Ever Getting Started: On Prospect Theory Without Commitment
ABSTRACT Prospect theory is arguably the most prominent alternative to expected utility theory. We study the investment or gambling behavior of a prospect theory decision maker who is aware of his time‐inconsistency but lacks commitment. For the empirically relevant prospect theory specifications, we obtain the extreme prediction that such a decision ...
Sebastian Ebert, Philipp Strack
wiley +1 more source
A dynamically consistent discrete-time model for monkeypox transmission with implications for quarantine policies. [PDF]
Türk K, Gümüş M.
europepmc +1 more source
Nature's Complexity Alive: Farewell to Several Unificatory Cosmological Arguments for Monism
ABSTRACT Throughout history, numerous thinkers have claimed that monism—in the form of priority monism, existence monism, monotheistic monism, or versions that posit an extra‐cosmic ultimate being—theoretically surpasses pluralism, above all by positing a unified universe.
Lok‐Chi Chan
wiley +1 more source
Reply to Claus Juergen Preusse. [PDF]
Settepani F.
europepmc +1 more source
The Evolving Role of 21st Century Municipal Financial Advisors
ABSTRACT We describe the evolution of the market for municipal financial advice since the year 2000 and present new empirical facts. Using SEC municipal advisor filings, we show that the number of operating advisors has decreased over time. We document that withdrawals—either exits, reorganizations, or mergers—are concentrated among smaller firms and ...
Daniel G. Garrett, Baridhi Malakar
wiley +1 more source
Tag-Team Parenting: Trends in Work Schedule Synchronization among Families with Young Children. [PDF]
Pilarz AR, Walther AK.
europepmc +1 more source

