Results 141 to 150 of about 66,779 (296)

Modulation of North Atlantic atmospheric rivers by the Gulf Stream

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Gulf Stream ocean variability plays a key role in modulating atmospheric river (AR) activity over the North Atlantic during winter and spring at monthly time‐scales. Increased ocean heat transport and mesoscale activity in the Gulf Stream are linked to northward shifts in ARs, while stronger surface heat fluxes drive ARs southward.
Ferran Lopez‐Marti   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Near‐resonant excitation of the Adriatic barotropic modes: The seiche events of December 2019

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study examines severe flooding in the northern Adriatic Sea in December 2019, which existing forecasting systems failed to predict. Analysis of wind and sea‐level data, alongside reanalysis datasets and a high‐resolution hydrodynamic model, revealed a wind‐induced resonance mechanism.
Marco Bajo   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

SynthETC: A Statistical Model for Severe Winter Storm Hazard on Eastern North America [PDF]

open access: yes
We develop, evaluate, and apply SynthETC, a statistical-stochastic model of winter extra-tropical cyclones (ETCs) over eastern North America. SynthETC simulates the life cycle of ETCs from formation to termination, and it can be used to estimate the ...
Booth, James F., Hall, Timothy M.
core   +1 more source

How consistently do ensemble prediction systems represent the growth of atmospheric uncertainty?

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Spread‐based diagnostics calculated for 12 ensemble prediction systems are compared to understand the consistency with which they represent atmospheric uncertainty growth. Good correlation between all these systems is found in the extratropics for a lead time range from 48 hr to between 96 hr and 192 hr.
Douglas Wood   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Neoglacial cooling culminates in rapid sea ice oscillations in eastern Fram Strait [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
EGU2011-407 The spatial and temporal distribution of sea ice in the subpolar North Atlantic is mainly controlled by the advection of warm Atlantic Water via the Norwegian and West Spitsbergen Current in eastern Fram Strait.
Müller, Juliane   +3 more
core  

Stratospheric and tropospheric seasonality and its implications for observation requirements in numerical weather prediction

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Daily time series of zonal‐mean zonal wind (m·s−1) at 10 hPa and 60° N from 1950 to 2021 from the ERA5 reanalysis. This shows huge variability in some seasons and very little in others. We provide evidence that high‐level observations, radiosonde and satellite, are more important during the extended winter season with its very large variability ...
Bruce Ingleby, Inna Polichtchouk
wiley   +1 more source

Association of the 11-year solar cycle with correlation and teleconnection structures in tropospheric circulation

open access: yesJournal of Space Weather and Space Climate
Analyzing spatial correlation structures and teleconnections in the 500 hPa heights of the Northern Hemisphere Extratropics in winter shows substantial differences between months with high and low solar activity.
Huth Radan, Stryhal Jan
doaj   +1 more source

The North Atlantic Oscillation in the Atlantic-European SLP*

open access: yesTellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 1990
An analysis of the signature of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in the Atlantic-European sea level pressure (SLP) is presented for observed (German Weather Service) and ECMWF T21 model data. The former time series consists of 1881–1984 January to December fields and the latter of 42 monthly fields from 3 permanent January simulations.
openaire   +2 more sources

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