Results 171 to 180 of about 5,527 (257)

Post‐Eruption Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Change Over the Western North Pacific Modulated by Initial Oceanic Conditions

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 11, 16 June 2026.
Abstract How tropical cyclone (TC) frequency may change following volcanic eruptions remains debated, owing to limited contemporary eruption samples. Using last‐millennium multi‐member simulations with CESM, we show that post‐eruption TC genesis potential over the western North Pacific consistently decreases during the storm season following extremely ...
Dubin Huan, Qing Yan, Jinzhe Zhang
wiley   +1 more source

Historical Volcanic Eruptions Mitigated the Expected Rapid Arctic Sea Ice Decline Prior to 2000

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 11, 16 June 2026.
Abstract Arctic sea ice has declined at sharply contrasting rates over the past four decades—modest before 2000 and rapid thereafter. Using observational and model evidence, we show that large tropical volcanic eruptions can trigger decade‐long Arctic sea ice recoveries, and that without the 1982 El Chichón and 1991 Pinatubo eruptions, Arctic sea ice ...
Xinyue Wang   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Linking Probabilistic Forecast Reliability to the Mismatch Between Model–Observation and Model–Model Correlations in Dynamical Seasonal Prediction

open access: yesJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Volume 131, Issue 11, 16 June 2026.
Abstract Reliability is central to probabilistic forecast skill, and linking it to nonprobabilistic diagnostics is essential for interpreting its behavior and deficits. Although recent studies have suggested a possible relationship between reliability in dynamical seasonal prediction and the mismatch between model–observation correlation (r $r$) and ...
Dejian Yang   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Changing drivers of the Great Atlantic Sargassum Belt from physical forcing to ecological control. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
Zhou X   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Variability of the Climate in Athens‐Greece Over the Last 165 Years of the Period 1858–2023: An Assessment Based on Thornthwaite's Climate Classification and Relevant Indices

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, Volume 46, Issue 7, 15 June 2026.
Athens' climate according to Thorthwaite is stable despite warming trends. Athens' climate remains semi‐arid and mesothermal over 165 years. Strong increases in evapotranspiration and stable precipitation were found. Soil water storage capacity affects water deficits but not aridity type.
Ioannis X. Tsiros   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Stronger ENSO-induced global SST variability in a warming climate. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
Hong SJ   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Home - About - Disclaimer - Privacy