Results 41 to 50 of about 5,031,588 (250)
Irrelevant Conjunction and the Ratio Measure or Historical Skepticism [PDF]
It is widely believed that one should not become more confident that _all swans are white and all lions are brave_ simply by observing white swans. Irrelevant conjunction or "tacking" of a theory onto another is often thought problematic for Bayesianism,
Pitts, J. Brian, J. Brian Pitts
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Objective This study aimed to determine whether gout flare resolution is associated with physical activity and sleep. These findings were intended to inform the future development of a definition for flare resolution. Methods Data from 81 participants with gout who experienced at least one flare during a six‐month prospective observational study were ...
Sarah Stewart +12 more
wiley +1 more source
Reverse Bayesianism and Act Independence [PDF]
Karni and Vierø (2013) propose a model of belief revision under growing awareness—reverse Bayesianism—which posits that as a person becomes aware of new acts, consequences, or act-consequence links, she revises her beliefs over an expanded state space in
Chakravarty, Surajeet +2 more
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dynoGP: Deep Gaussian Processes for Dynamic System Identification
This work introduces a novel class of deep models for system identification, dynamical deep Gaussian processes, which combine the strengths of data‐driven methods, such as those based on neural network architectures, with the ability to output a probability distribution for uncertainty representation.
Alessio Benavoli +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Probabilistic Sophistication and Reverse Bayesianism [PDF]
This paper extends our earlier work on reverse Bayesianism by relaxing the assumption that decision makers abide by expected utility theory, assuming instead weaker axioms that merely imply that they are probabilistically sophisticated.
Karni, Edi, Vierø, Marie-Louise
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Predicting extreme defects in additive manufacturing remains a key challenge limiting its structural reliability. This study proposes a statistical framework that integrates Extreme Value Theory with advanced process indicators to explore defect–process relationships and improve the estimation of critical defect sizes. The approach provides a basis for
Muhammad Muteeb Butt +8 more
wiley +1 more source
Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Linguistics and Philosophy, 2013.Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.Includes bibliographical references (pages 97-100).Bayesianism, in its traditional form, consists of two claims about ...
Carr, Jennifer Rose
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A Workflow to Accelerate Microstructure‐Sensitive Fatigue Life Predictions
This study introduces a workflow to accelerate predictions of microstructure‐sensitive fatigue life. Results from frameworks with varying levels of simplification are benchmarked against published reference results. The analysis reveals a trade‐off between accuracy and model complexity, offering researchers a practical guide for selecting the optimal ...
Luca Loiodice +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Motivating Objective Bayesianism: From Empirical Constraints to Objective Probabilities
Objective Bayesian methodology is widely used in statistics, physics, engineering and artificial intelligence. However, every justification for this method has contained glaring holes.
Williamson, Jon
core
Autonomy All the Way Down: Systems and Dynamics in Quantum Bayesianism [PDF]
Quantum Bayesianism (``QBism'') has been put forward as an approach to quantum theory that avoids foundational problems by altogether disavowing the objective existence of quantum states.
Fields, Chris
core +1 more source

