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WTO Working Papers, 2010 In recent years, our understanding of the nature of energy price shocks and their effects on the economy has evolved dramatically. Only a few years ago, the prevailing view in the literature was that at least the major crude oil prices increases were exogenous with respect to the OECD economies and that these increases were caused by oil supply ...
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Crude Oil Price Determinants [PDF]
, 2007 Based on monthly observations, I specify an econometric model capturing the driving forces behind the crude oil price series in recent years. A large set of covariates, such as supply and demand variables as well as futures market variables, is used to test the impact on the crude oil price.
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Measuring Oil Price Volatility
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2002In this paper we try to measure oil price uncertainty. The measure of uncertainty is based on the conditional standard deviations which are derived from univariate (G)ARCH models. The measure of uncertainty we choose is the within-year high-low range of the conditional standard deviations.
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Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2010
The theories of investment under uncertainty and real options predict that uncertainty about, for example, oil prices will tend to depress current investment. We reinvestigate the relationship between the price of oil and investment, focusing on the role of uncertainty about oil prices.
JOHN ELDER, APOSTOLOS SERLETIS
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The theories of investment under uncertainty and real options predict that uncertainty about, for example, oil prices will tend to depress current investment. We reinvestigate the relationship between the price of oil and investment, focusing on the role of uncertainty about oil prices.
JOHN ELDER, APOSTOLOS SERLETIS
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Resources Policy, 1990
Abstract This paper identifies some short-run advantages which may be available to an economy with a policy that restricts the rise in domestic oil prices below world parity. This result is obtained by using ORANI, a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of the Australian economy, to quantify the short-run (two-year) differences between the ...
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Abstract This paper identifies some short-run advantages which may be available to an economy with a policy that restricts the rise in domestic oil prices below world parity. This result is obtained by using ORANI, a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of the Australian economy, to quantify the short-run (two-year) differences between the ...
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1989
This chapter contains an analysis of the results of the informal surveys of oil price expectations that have been carried out at Surrey Energy Economics Centre’s annual international energy economics conferences, focusing on the April 1987 survey.
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This chapter contains an analysis of the results of the informal surveys of oil price expectations that have been carried out at Surrey Energy Economics Centre’s annual international energy economics conferences, focusing on the April 1987 survey.
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