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Overconfidence? [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2009
Many studies have shown that people display an apparent overconfidence. In particular, it is common for a majority of people to describe themselves as better-than-average. The literature takes for granted that this better-than-average is problematic.
Benoît, Jean-Pierre, Dubra, Juan
core   +20 more sources

Overconfidence Increases Productivity [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2011
Recent studies report that productivity increases under tournament reward structures than under piece rate reward structures. We conduct maze-solving experiments under both reward structures and reveal that overconfidence is a significant factor in ...
Fumio Ohtake   +3 more
core   +3 more sources

The Evolution of Overconfidence [PDF]

open access: yesNature, 2011
Confidence is an essential ingredient of success in a wide range of domains ranging from job performance and mental health, to sports, business, and combat.
Fowler, James H., Johnson, Dominic D. P.
core   +3 more sources

Overconfidence

open access: yesLexicon Philosophicum, 2021
Overconfidence occurs when persons overestimate their abilities in general or with respect to a specific task/context. This bias causes systematic errors, yet it is found in 70% of tested individuals, suggesting that this trait gives an adaptive advantage in competitions between individuals for finite resources.
Gilberto Corbellini
doaj   +5 more sources

Gender and Overconfidence [PDF]

open access: yesEconomics Letters, 2005
Do males differ from females in terms of self-confidence? The structure of the Economics I exam at Stockholm University provides an opportunity to shed some light on this question.
Bengtsson, Claes   +2 more
core   +3 more sources

Biased interpretation of performance feedback: The role of ceo overconfidence [PDF]

open access: yes, 2020
Research summary: This study examines how managerial biases in the form of overconfidence change the interpretation of performance feedback and, consequently, shape a firm's risk taking in response to it.
Keck, Steffen   +2 more
core   +1 more source

The trouble with overconfidence. [PDF]

open access: yesPsychological Review, 2007
This paper presents a reconciliation of the three distinct ways in which the research literature has defined overconfidence: (1) overestimation of one’s actual performance, (2) overplacement of one’s performance relative to others, and (3) excessive precision in one’s beliefs.
Don A. Moore, Paul J. Healy
openaire   +2 more sources

Overconfidence and Career Choice [PDF]

open access: yesPLOS ONE, 2016
People self-assess their relative ability when making career choices. Thus, confidence in their own abilities is likely an important factor for selection into various career paths. In a sample of 711 first-year students we examine whether there are systematic differences in confidence levels across fields of study.
Jonathan F. Schulz, Christian Thöni
openaire   +6 more sources

Apparent overconfidence [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
It is common for a majority of people to rank themselves as better than average on simple tasks and worse than average on dificult tasks. The literature takes for granted that this apparent miscon?dence is problematic. We argue, however, that this behaviour is consistent with purely rational Bayesian updaters.
Benoit, J-P, Dubra, J
openaire  

Is Underconfidence Favored over Overconfidence? An Experiment on the Perception of a Biased Self-Assessment [PDF]

open access: yes, 2013
This paper reports findings of a laboratory experiment, which explores how elfassessment regarding the own relative performance is perceived by others. In particular, I investigate whether overconfident subjects or underconfident subjects are considered ...
Thoma, Carmen
core   +2 more sources

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