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Overconfidence occurs when persons overestimate their abilities in general or with respect to a specific task/context. This bias causes systematic errors, yet it is found in 70% of tested individuals, suggesting that this trait gives an adaptive ...
Gilberto Corbellini
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Overconfidence, stability and investments [PDF]
Abstract The available evidence from numerous studies suggests that overconfidence varies significantly across countries. We develop a model that endogenizes these differences and examines their economic consequences. A crucial determinant of differences in overconfidence is the degree of expected stability of the environment, with greater ...
Dessi, Roberta, Zhao, Xiaojian
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The trouble with overconfidence. [PDF]
This paper presents a reconciliation of the three distinct ways in which the research literature has defined overconfidence: (1) overestimation of one’s actual performance, (2) overplacement of one’s performance relative to others, and (3) excessive precision in one’s beliefs.
Don A. Moore, Paul J. Healy
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The evolution of overconfidence [PDF]
Confidence is an essential ingredient of success in a wide range of domains ranging from job performance and mental health, to sports, business, and combat. Some authors have suggested that not just confidence but overconfidence-believing you are better than you are in reality-is advantageous because it serves to increase ambition, morale, resolve ...
Johnson, Dominic D. P., Fowler, James H.
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Overconfidence and Timing of Entry [PDF]
We analyze the impact of overconfidence on the timing of entry in markets, profits, and welfare using an extension of the quantity commitment game. Players have private information about costs, one player is overconfident, and the other one rational. We find that for slight levels of overconfidence and intermediate cost asymmetries, there is a unique ...
Santos Pinto, Luis, Pires, Tiago
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Mapping knowledge domains on managerial overconfidence
Managerial overconfidence issues have attracted extant research interest given its influence on corporate strategy and operating performance with the growing development of modern behavioural economics.
Shiliang Xia, Jingjing Duan
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Overconfidence behavior, one form of positive illusion, has drawn considerable attention throughout history because it is viewed as the main reason for many crises.
Esra Alp Coşkun +2 more
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At present, there is a common overinvestment behavior among listed companies in various countries, which seriously reduces the overall resource allocation efficiency of the market.
Michael So
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Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui hubungan antara faktor demografi, personality traits dan overconfidence pada Investor saham di Yogyakarta.
Liring Dwi Utami, Kartini Kartini
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