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The evolution of overconfidence [PDF]

open access: yesNature, 2011
Confidence is an essential ingredient of success in a wide range of domains ranging from job performance and mental health, to sports, business, and combat. Some authors have suggested that not just confidence but overconfidence-believing you are better than you are in reality-is advantageous because it serves to increase ambition, morale, resolve ...
James H Fowler
exaly   +5 more sources

Overconfidence

open access: yesLexicon Philosophicum, 2021
Overconfidence occurs when persons overestimate their abilities in general or with respect to a specific task/context. This bias causes systematic errors, yet it is found in 70% of tested individuals, suggesting that this trait gives an adaptive ...
Gilberto Corbellini
doaj   +4 more sources

Managerial Overconfidence, Firm’s Profitability, and Its Predictability [PDF]

open access: yesمطالعات تجربی حسابداری مالی, 2023
This study examines the effects of firms’ chief executive officers’ overconfidence on firms’ profitability and its predictability. The study’s hypotheses about positive significant chief executive officers’ overconfidence on profitability and its ...
Mehdi Nikravesh
doaj   +1 more source

Relationships between Managerial Overconfidence, Internal Financing and Investment Efficiency [PDF]

open access: yesمجله دانش حسابداری, 2020
Objective: The purpose of this study is to examine the relationships between management overconfidence, internal financing, and investment efficiency in the companies listed in the Tehran Stock Exchange.
Vahid Taghizadeh Khanqah   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

The role of institutional ownership on the relationship between CEO overconfidence and the risks of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange [PDF]

open access: yesNew Applied Studies in Management, Economics & Accounting, 2023
The aim of this study, investigating the role of institutional ownership on the effect of the CEO's overconfidence on the risks of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange.
Beranoosh Karimi
doaj   +1 more source

Online Social Network Information Dissemination Integrating Overconfidence and Evolutionary Game Theory

open access: yesIEEE Access, 2021
Public opinion inversion and other nonlinear phenomena often occur during online social network information dissemination (OSNID) in modern society.
Xiaochao Wei   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

CEO's Overconfidence, Cost stickiness, and Value Relevance of Accounting Information [PDF]

open access: yesIranian Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance, 2020
CEO's overconfidence is one of the essential indices that influences financial policies. When sales decline, overconfident CEOs have overconfidence in their ability to bring sales back to the previous level and tend to overestimate sales, thereby ...
Reza Abdolahnezhad Khalil Abad
doaj   +1 more source

Effect of Overconfidence on Product Diffusion in Online Social Networks: A Multiagent Simulation Based on Evolutionary Game and Overconfidence Theory

open access: yesComplexity, 2022
The rapid development of online social media has significantly promoted product diffusion in online social networks (PDOSN). However, prior studies focusing on irrational behavior, such as overconfidence, in PDOSN are scarce. To investigate the effect of
Xiaochao Wei   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Human Capital Accumulation and the Evolution of Overconfidence

open access: yesGames, 2020
This paper studies the evolution of overconfidence over a cohort’s working life. To do this, the paper incorporates subjective assessments into a continuous time human capital accumulation model with a finite horizon.
Luis Santos-Pinto
doaj   +1 more source

Overconfidence is universal? Elicitation of Genuine Overconfidence (EGO) procedure reveals systematic differences across domain, task knowledge, and incentives in four populations. [PDF]

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2018
Overconfidence is sometimes assumed to be a human universal, but there remains a dearth of data systematically measuring overconfidence across populations and contexts.
Michael Muthukrishna   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

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