Results 111 to 120 of about 56,313 (235)

Quantifying driving ensemble influence on operational convection‐permitting ensemble spread

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
By comparing statistics of precipitation patterns between a convection‐permitting ensemble and the global ensemble used to drive it, we investigate the conditions under which the convection‐permitting ensemble diverges from the evolution of the driving ensemble.
Adam Gainford   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Distinguishing Overconfidence from Rational Best-Response in Markets [PDF]

open access: yes
This paper studies the causal effect of individuals' overconfidence and bounded rationality on asset markets. To do that, we combine a new market mechanism with an experimental design, where (1) players' interaction is centered on the inferences they ...
Shimon Kogan
core  

Are we misdiagnosing ensemble forecast reliability? On the insufficiency of spread–error and rank‐based reliability metrics

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We demonstrate that the spread–error relationship, rank histogram, and continuous rank probability score reliability component can falsely indicate reliability under climatological variance biases, yielding ensemble members that are overly or insufficiently extreme.
Arlan Dirkson, Mark Buehner
wiley   +1 more source

OVERCONFIDENCE BIAS: EXPLANATION OF MARKET ANOMALIES FRENCH MARKET CASE [PDF]

open access: yes
In this study, we test whether the overconfidence bias explains several stylized market anomalous, including a short-term continuation (momentum), a long-term reversal in stock returns, high levels of trading volume and excessive volatility.
Abdelfettah BOURI   +2 more
core  

Physics‐Informed Neural Networks for Battery Degradation Prediction Under Random Walk Operations

open access: yesQuality and Reliability Engineering International, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study addresses the challenge of predicting the state of health (SoH) and capacity degradation in Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) under highly variable conditions induced by frequent control adjustments. In environments where random walk behavior prevails due to stochastic control commands, conventional estimation methods often ...
Alaa Selim   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Is There Evidence of Pessimism and Doubt in Subjective Distributions? A Comment on Abel [PDF]

open access: yes
Abel (2002) shows that pessimism and doubt in the subjective distribution of the growth rate of consumption reduce the riskfree rate puzzle and the equity premium puzzle.
Giordani, Paolo, Söderlind, Paul
core  

Real‐Time Behavior Recognition Using a Legged Robot for Animal–Robot Interaction

open access: yesJournal of Field Robotics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Animal–robot interaction is an emerging interdisciplinary field that explores the dynamics between animals and robotic systems, as well as the design principles for effective engagement. While previous approaches have investigated animal responses to robotic stimuli, they have yet to integrate artificial intelligence (AI) for real‐time ...
Edoardo Fazzari   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Pricing strategy of traceable agricultural supply chain decisions considering retailer's overconfidence with government subsidy

open access: yesAlexandria Engineering Journal
This study examines pricing strategies within a two-tier traceable agricultural product supply chain, encompassing both the retailer and the supplier.
Chongfeng Lan, Yaru Lan, Shengde Liu
doaj   +1 more source

Historical remote sensing highlights long‐term persistence of Emperor Penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) colonies

open access: yesRemote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, EarlyView.
Remote sensing can reveal population dynamics of Antarctic penguin colonies. In this study, we analyze emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) guano stains in remote sensing imagery and discover colony presence predating known records for 18 colonies across Antarctica.
Martynas Bielinis   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Gender and Overconfidence [PDF]

open access: yes
Do males differ from females in terms of self-confidence? The structure of the Economics I exam at Stockholm University provides an opportunity to shed some light on this question.
Bengtsson, Claes   +2 more
core   +1 more source

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