Results 141 to 150 of about 22,911 (304)

Performance of EWS under high/low reporting probability and high/low overdispersion scenarios.

, 2018
For high reporting ρ = 1.0 and low reporting ρ = 0.047. For high overdispersion ϕ = 0.01, for low overdispersion ϕ = 100. For all panels both the mean infectious period and aggregation period are 7 days.
Tobias S. Brett (5353364), Pejman Rohani (208881), Éric Marty (5353367), Andrew W. Park (400645), John M. Drake (67554), Paige B. Miller (4414978), Eamon B. O’Dea (5353361)   +6 more
core   +1 more source

NowPrecip 2: Precipitation nowcasting in the complex terrain of Switzerland. Part II: Verification

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
In this work we present the verification of the NowPrecip precipitation nowcasting systems (version 1 and version 2). Using 3.5 years of data over the period 2020–2023, their performance is compared with PySTEPS and the ICON numerical weather prediction ensemble by computing deterministic and probabilistic metrics.
A. Ntoumos, I. V. Sideris, A. Berne, A. Hering, P. Juda, M. Gabella, M. Boscacci, L. Clementi, U. Germann   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

MODELING THE INCIDENCE OF MALNUTRITION IN BOGOR REGENCY USING ZERO-INFLATED NEGATIVE BINOMIAL MIXED EFFECT MODEL

Barekeng
Modeling response variables in the form of count data generally uses a model based on the Poisson distribution. However, some conditions, such as the presence of excess zero, can be found in the data that result in overdispersion, which will have an ...
Dwi Agustin Nuriani Sirodj, Kusman Sadik, Anang Kurnia   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Are we misdiagnosing ensemble forecast reliability? On the insufficiency of spread–error and rank‐based reliability metrics

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We demonstrate that the spread–error relationship, rank histogram, and continuous rank probability score reliability component can falsely indicate reliability under climatological variance biases, yielding ensemble members that are overly or insufficiently extreme.
Arlan Dirkson, Mark Buehner
wiley   +1 more source

Ensemble reliability and the signal‐to‐noise paradox in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We derive a general expression for the ratio of predictable components (RPC) in terms of correlation, spread–error ratio, and total variance ratio. Physical constraints on the admissible solutions (i.e., real‐valued and non‐negative variances) provide a mechanism to identify statistically paradoxical sample combinations of reliability and correlation ...
Christopher D. Roberts, Frederic Vitart
wiley   +1 more source

Hydropower Operations Reduce Alluvial Nesting Habitat and Alter Riverine Turtle Population Demographics

River Research and Applications, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Hydropower management has altered discharge regimes of large rivers worldwide, reducing sediment mobilization and early‐seral conditions essential for many riverine species. Spiny softshell turtles (Apalone spinifera) rely on alluvial habitats for nesting and may serve as sentinel species to assess the effects of regulated flow regimes and ...
Kayhan Ostovar, Larissa Saarel, Joanna‐Lynn C. Borgogna, Luke Ward, Whalen Alston, Matt Prinkki, Addison Valdez   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Scale dependence in remotely sensed biodiversity: Leveraging continental‐scale imaging spectroscopy from the National Ecological Observatory Network

Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, EarlyView.
Imaging spectroscopy enables large‐scale biodiversity assessment, yet spectral diversity metrics are scale dependent. Across 15 NEON ecosystems, we find that spectral richness increases sub‐linearly from 3600 m2 to 4 km2, whereas spectral divergence shows weak or inconsistent scaling with area, underscoring the importance of scale‐aware interpretation ...
Meghan T. Hayden, Matthew W. Rossi, Laura E. Dee, Kyle Kovach, Cibele H. Amaral, Jacob Nesslage, Madeline Slimp, Rachel S. Meyer, E. Natasha Stavros   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

From Inclusion to Sustainability: A Systematic Review of Research Trends in Sustainable Inclusive Education (2015–2025)

Sustainable Development, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This systematic review reconceptualizes inclusive education (IE) as a cross‐cutting strategy for sustainable development. We analyze 2729 articles published between 2015 and 2025, identifying 357 that explicitly address sustainability. Using PRISMA 2020, bibliometric mapping, and binomial generalized linear models, we examine temporal ...
Mustafa Enes Işıkgöz, Mustafa Öztunç   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Comparison Between Two Multinomial Overdispersion Models Through Simulation

, 2020
A key assumption when using the multinomial distribution is that the observations are independent. In many practical situations, the observations could be correlated or clustered and the probabilities within each cluster might vary, which may lead to ...
Shabuz, Zillur R., Afroz, Farzana
core  

Learning to innovate: How and when firms transform intellectual capital into exploratory and exploitative innovation

Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal, EarlyView.
Abstract Research Summary Corporate entrepreneurship (CE) requires firms to pursue both exploratory and exploitative innovation, yet limited research explains how intellectual capital (IC) is translated into these distinct outcomes. We develop a contingency model that specifies how and when IC drives exploration and exploitation.
Gholamhossein (Amir) Mehralian, Arash Sadeghi, Ralf Wilden   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source