Results 151 to 160 of about 522,400 (295)

A pilot variational coupled reanalysis based on the CESAM climate model

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Variational data assimilation of in‐situ and satellite ocean data and reanalysis atmospheric data into an intermediate complexity Earth system model is possible by adjusting the surface fluxes and internal model parameters. This pilot application requires nearly complete information on the atmospheric state for synchronization.
Armin Köhl   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley   +1 more source

NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN

open access: yesMonthly Weather Review, 1921
  +4 more sources

Using a causal effect network approach to quantify the impact of ENSO teleconnections on summer monsoon precipitation over the Himalayas and key regional circulations

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We quantified the causal effect (CE) of linkages between four monthly climate indices ENSO, SMHP, RWC, and MHC for 1940–2022 with a time lag of one month. The results show CE values from (1) ENSO to SMHP of −0.33$$ -0.33 $$ to −0.44$$ -0.44 $$ (i.e., a one standard deviation (SD) increase in ENSO causes a decrease in SMHP of −0.33$$ -0.33 $$ to −0.44$$
Grzegorz Muszynski   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Mesoscale and microphysical processes leading to extreme hourly rainfall prior to the merger of two mesoscale convective systems in Central China

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Short‐term extreme rainfall can be produced by the variation of low‐level warm moist airflow during mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) approaching another. The cold outflow of the rapidly moving MCS intensifies the warm moist airflow in front, enhancing the convergence and ascending motion in the quasi‐stationary MCS.
Xiaoyu Gao   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Exceptionally poor and good medium‐range forecasts of the large‐scale circulation over Europe in ERA5 reforecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study investigates year‐round exceptionally poor and good day‐6 forecasts of the 500‐hPa geopotential height field over Europe using 45 years of ERA5 reforecasts and applies a weather regime perspective to analyse large‐scale pattern evolution and regime transitions.
Seraphine Hauser   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Neospora caninum Infection in Marine Mammals Stranding in Northeastern Pacific Ocean Region. [PDF]

open access: yesEmerg Infect Dis
Raverty SA   +11 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Does vertical wind shear increase tropical cyclone rain?

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A 26‐year modern precipitation dataset is used to systematically assess tropical cyclone (TC) rainfall responses to vertical wind shear (VWS). VWS enhances rainfall volume in TCs by up to 23%, despite reducing storm intensity, revealing a trade‐off where VWS mitigates wind damage but potentially amplifies flood risk.
King Heng Lau, Ralf Toumi
wiley   +1 more source

Performance evaluation of regional weather predictions with the Model for Prediction Across Scales – Atmosphere (MPAS‐A) over the Maritime Continent

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
As part of the ongoing efforts to develop next‐generation forecasting systems at the Meteorological Service Singapore, this study presents the setup and evaluation of the SINGV_NG(MPAS) system. Overall, the SINGV_NG(MPAS) system outperforms European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) deterministic forecasts in capturing heavy rainfall ...
I‐Han Chen   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

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