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Walter the Banker: The Conjunction Fallacy Reconsidered [PDF]
In a famous experiment by Tversky and Kahneman (1983), featuring Linda the bank teller, the participants assign a higher probability to a conjunction of propositions than to one of the conjuncts, thereby seemingly committing a probabilistic fallacy.
Meijs, Wouter +3 more
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THE IMPACT OF ACTOR-RELATIONAL DYNAMICS ON INTEGRATED PLANNING PRACTICE [PDF]
Integrated planning processes involve an increasing number of actors and aim to create synergy between multiple knowledges in communicative settings. Planning research has acknowledged that the actor-relational aspects of planning processes are not yet ...
Mladenović, Miloš N. +4 more
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Knowledge of Previous Tasks: Task Similarity Influences Bias in Task Duration Predictions
Bias in predictions of task duration has been attributed to misremembering previous task duration and using previous task duration as a basis for predictions.
Kevin E. Thomas, Cornelius J. König
doaj +1 more source
Photo by Anna Hecker on Unsplash ABSTRACT All people deserve the legal ability to outline their care decisions in advance and expect their decisions to govern during a pregnancy. However, until advance directives govern without pregnancy exceptions,
Gianna Strand
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The aim of this study was to initiate the exploration of debiasing methods applicable in real-life settings for achieving lasting improvement in decision-making competence regarding multiple decision biases.
Balazs eAczel +4 more
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The Costs and Benefits of Positive Illusions
Positive illusions are associated with unrealistic optimism about the future and an inflated assessment of one's abilities. They are prevalent in normal life and are considered essential for maintaining a healthy mental state, although, there are ...
Spyros eMakridakis
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The Principle of the Malevolent Hiding Hand; or, the Planning Fallacy Writ Large [PDF]
We identify and document a new principle of economic behavior: the principle of the Malevolent Hiding Hand. In a famous discussion, Albert Hirschman celebrated the Hiding Hand, which he saw as a benevolent mechanism by which unrealistically optimistic planners embark on unexpectedly challenging plans, only to be rescued by human ingenuity, which they ...
Bent Flyvbjerg, Cass R. Sunstein
openaire +3 more sources
Communication-Oriented and Process Sensitive Planning Support [PDF]
The complexity of the planning context has raised criticism against public participation for being a rigid top-down endeavour which does not recognize the different communicative needs and necessary working modes in the engagement of broad publics and ...
Staffans, Aija +5 more
core +2 more sources
Personnel Planning Information [PDF]
2 p. Document regarding personnel planning information.
University of Oregon. Budget and Resource Planning
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Experimental modeling methods in Industrial Engineering [PDF]
Dynamic approaches to a management system of the present industrial practice, forcing businesses to address management issues in-house continuous improvement of production and non-production processes.
Peter Trebuňa
doaj

