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From complexity to parsimony: A systems thinking validation of the multiple streams framework in abortion policy agenda setting. [PDF]
Health Res Policy SystAlvarado G.
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From conflict to collaboration: how local natural resource management conventions foster peacebuilding between farmers and herders in central Mali. [PDF]
DisastersBa B, Affognon H, Flintan F.
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2017
The political budget cycle—how elections affect government fiscal policy—is one of the most studied subjects in political economy and political science. The key theoretical question is whether incumbent governments can time or structure public finances in ways that improve their chances of reelection; the key empirical question is whether this in fact ...
Aaskoven, Lasse, Lassen, David Dreyer
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The political budget cycle—how elections affect government fiscal policy—is one of the most studied subjects in political economy and political science. The key theoretical question is whether incumbent governments can time or structure public finances in ways that improve their chances of reelection; the key empirical question is whether this in fact ...
Aaskoven, Lasse, Lassen, David Dreyer
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Fiscal Decentralization and Political Budget Cycles
Journal of Public Economic Theory, 2013AbstractWe analyze a problem à la Rogoff where incumbents can distort fiscal policy to signal their competency, but where fiscal policy can be centralized or decentralized. Our main focus is on how the equilibrium probability that fiscal policy is distorted in any region (the political budget cycle, PBC) differs across fiscal regimes.
PAULA GONZÁLEZ +2 more
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China's Local Political Budget Cycles
American Journal of Political Science, 2009This article examines the political budget cycles in Chinese counties. The shift to a more performance‐based cadre evaluation and mobility system during the reform era has created an incentive structure for local leaders to increase government spending at strategically important time points during their tenure to enhance the prospect of official ...
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Context‐Conditional Political Budget Cycles
2009Abstract This article studies the contextual determinants of incumbents' ability and incentives to engineer political business cycles in American states. It presents a short review of related literature to clarify how and why the theory of political budget cycles evolved.
James E. Alt, Shanna S. Rose
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Political budget cycles in U.S. municipalities
Economics of Governance, 2015This paper tests for political budget cycles among U.S. municipalities. According to the political budget cycle hypothesis, in election years government officials engage in opportunistic fiscal policy manipulation for electoral gains. We test that hypothesis using data on taxes, spending, and employment for a panel of 268 U.S.
C. Adam Bee, Shawn R. Moulton
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Political Budget Cycles in Local Governments
Lex localis - Journal of Local Self-Government, 2012This paper aims to analyse the impact of the electoral schedule on municipal governments’ financial activities. Specifically, we pay attention to capital spending, current spending and taxes. We use a long time series (1989-2008) of the 45 municipalities of the Region of Murcia (Spain).
Bernardino Benito +2 more
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Popularity, polarization, and political budget cycles
Public Choice, 2013A vast literature has established that governments may abuse policy instruments in order to enhance their popularity and thus their probability of reelection, resulting in political budget cycles. Yet do popular governments have the same incentives to boost their popularity through pre-electoral expansions as unpopular governments?
Marek Hanusch, Daniel B. Magleby
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