Results 11 to 20 of about 490,508 (286)

Regime specific predictability in predictive regressions [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2010
Predictive regressions are linear specifications linking a noisy variable such as stock returns to past values of a more persistent regressor such as valuation ratios, interest rates etc with the aim of assessing the presence or absence of predictability.
Jean-Ives Pitarakis, Jesús Gonzalo
core   +12 more sources

Predicting Bond Return Predictability [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2020
This paper provides empirical evidence on predictable time variations in out-of-sample bond return predictability. Bond return predictability is associated with periods of high (low) economic activity (uncertainty), which implies that violations of the expectations hypothesis are state dependent and linked to features of the business cycle. These state
Daniel Borup   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Multimorbidity prediction using link prediction [PDF]

open access: yesScientific Reports, 2021
AbstractMultimorbidity, frequently associated with aging, can be operationally defined as the presence of two or more chronic conditions. Predicting the likelihood of a patient with multimorbidity to develop a further particular disease in the future is one of the key challenges in multimorbidity research.
Furqan Aziz   +7 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Nonlinear Impacts of Surface Exchange Coefficient Uncertainty on Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Air‐Sea Interactions

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, 2020
Tropical cyclone maximum intensity is believed to result from a balance between the surface friction, which removes energy, and a temperature/moisture (enthalpy) difference between the sea surface and the air above it, which adds energy.
Robert G. Nystrom   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Different roles of similarity and predictability in auditory stream segregation [PDF]

open access: yes, 2013
Sound sources often emit trains of discrete sounds, such as a series of footsteps. Previously, two dif¬ferent principles have been suggested for how the human auditory system binds discrete sounds to¬gether into perceptual units.
Bendixen, Alexandra   +5 more
core   +1 more source

Predictive Coding Networks for Temporal Prediction

open access: yesPLOS Computational Biology, 2023
AbstractOne of the key problems the brain faces is inferring the state of the world from a sequence of dynamically changing stimuli, and it is not yet clear how the sensory system achieves this task. A well-established computational framework for describing perceptual processes in the brain is provided by the theory of predictive coding.
Beren Millidge   +4 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Retrospective Evaluation of the Five-Year and Ten-Year CSEP-Italy Earthquake Forecasts [PDF]

open access: yes, 2010
On 1 August 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched a prospective and comparative earthquake predictability experiment in Italy.
CSEP-Italy Working Group   +4 more
core   +4 more sources

Dynamics and predictability of secondary eyewall formation in sheared tropical cyclones

open access: yesJournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2017
This study examines the predictability and dynamics of tropical cyclone (TC) secondary eyewall formation (SEF), eyewall replacement cycles (ERC), and intensity changes under moderate environmental shear through convection‐permitting ensemble simulations.
Fuqing Zhang   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Chains of Spatial and Temporal Precipitation Occurrence Predictability Across the Continental U.S.

open access: yesFrontiers in Climate, 2021
Both spatial and temporal information sources contribute to the predictability of precipitation occurrence at a given location. These sources, and the level of predictability they provide, are relevant to forecasting and understanding precipitation ...
Allison Goodwell, Ritzwi Chapagain
doaj   +1 more source

Predictability and Predictions

open access: yesAtmosphere, 2022
This essay describes the author’s lifetime experiences with predictability theory and weather predictions.
openaire   +2 more sources

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