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Don’t Predict Counterfactual Values, Predict Expected Values Instead

Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2023
Counterfactual Regret Minimization algorithms are the most popular way of estimating the Nash Equilibrium in imperfect-information zero-sum games. In particular, DeepStack -- the state-of-the-art Poker bot -- employs the so-called Deep Counterfactual Value Network (DCVN) to learn the Counterfactual Values (CFVs) associated with various states in the ...
Jeremiasz Wołosiuk, Maciej Świechowski, Jacek Mańdziuk   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Predictive Mathematical Models of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Underlying Principles and Value of Projections.

Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA), 2020
Numerous mathematical models are being produced to forecast the future of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID19) epidemics in the US and worldwide. These predictions have far-reaching consequences regarding how quickly and how strongly governments move to ...
N. Jewell, J. Lewnard, B. Jewell
semanticscholar   +1 more source