Maximizing the probability of attaining a target prior to extinction [PDF]
22 pages, 1 figure ...
Debasish Chatterjee+2 more
core +9 more sources
Bias in the brain: a diffusion model analysis of prior probability and potential payoff. [PDF]
In perceptual decision-making, advance knowledge biases people toward choice alternatives that are more likely to be correct and more likely to be profitable.
Mulder MJ+4 more
europepmc +2 more sources
Elapsed decision time affects the weighting of prior probability in a perceptual decision task. [PDF]
Decisions are often based on a combination of new evidence with prior knowledge of the probable best choice. Optimal combination requires knowledge about the reliability of evidence, but in many realistic situations, this is unknown.
Hanks TD+4 more
europepmc +2 more sources
Reconstructing the Prior Probabilities of Allelic Phylogenies [PDF]
Abstract In general when a phylogeny is reconstructed from DNA or protein sequence data, it makes use only of the probabilities of obtaining some phylogeny given a collection of data. It is also possible to determine the prior probabilities of different phylogenies.
G. Brian Golding
openalex +4 more sources
On Bernoulli Experiments with Imprecise Prior Probabilities [PDF]
This paper deals with a situation where the prior distribution in a Bayesian treatment of a Bernoulli experiment is not known precisely. Imprecision for Bernoulli experiments is discussed for the case where the prior densities are defined in the form of intervals of measures, and a simple model with conjugate imprecise prior densities is used for ease ...
Frank P. A. Coolen
openalex +4 more sources
Quantization of Prior Probabilities for Hypothesis Testing [PDF]
Bayesian hypothesis testing is investigated when the prior probabilities of the hypotheses, taken as a random vector, are quantized. Nearest neighbor and centroid conditions are derived using mean Bayes risk error as a distortion measure for quantization. A high-resolution approximation to the distortion-rate function is also obtained.
Kush R. Varshney, Lav R. Varshney
openalex +3 more sources
Prior probability cues bias sensory encoding with increasing task exposure [PDF]
When observers have prior knowledge about the likely outcome of their perceptual decisions, they exhibit robust behavioural biases in reaction time and choice accuracy.
Kevin Walsh+4 more
doaj +2 more sources
Human online adaptation to changes in prior probability
Optimal sensory decision-making requires the combination of uncertain sensory signals with prior expectations. The effect of prior probability is often described as a shift in the decision criterion. Can observers track sudden changes in probability?
Elyse H. Norton+3 more
openalex +2 more sources
Prior probability and feature predictability interactively bias perceptual decisions. [PDF]
Dunovan KE, Tremel JJ, Wheeler ME.
europepmc +2 more sources
Prior probability modulates anticipatory activity in category-specific areas [PDF]
Sabrina Trapp+3 more
openalex +2 more sources