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Probabilistic Predictability of the MJO
Journal of the Atmospheric SciencesAbstract Studies of natural or intrinsic MJO predictability have typically estimated its limit at a fixed, single lead time. The interpretation of such a predictability limit has remained ambiguous. This study introduces a concept of probabilistic predictability, which defines MJO predictability in terms of the expected probability of
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Analysis and Application of the Sparse Prior in Probabilistic Prediction of Elastic Parameters
IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 2022Pu Wang, Yi-An Cui, Xiaohong Chen
exaly
A Probabilistic Prediction of beach nourishment evolution
2000A II level probabilistic analysis for predicting the lifetime of a beach nourishment project has been proposed. Considering that the new wider beach serves as shore protection by storms and to increase recreational benefits, it has been assumed that the beach reaches its failure state when its width becomes lower than a specified minimum.
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Probabilistic indexing for case-based prediction
1997The main assumption underlying case-based reasoning is that a problem with similar features as an earlier one is likely to have the same solution. However, this assumption has never been formally justified, and one can easily find practical situations where it is not true. We use probablity theory to show that even if this fundamental assumption can be
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Latent adversarial regularized autoencoder for high-dimensional probabilistic time series prediction
Neural Networks, 2022Qun Dai
exaly
Probabilistic prediction of metro induced ground-borne vibration and its accuracy evaluation
Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 2021Weifeng Liu
exaly