Probabilistic predictability of stochastic dynamical systems
To assess the quality of a probabilistic prediction for stochastic dynamical systems (SDSs), scoring rules assign a numerical score based on the predictive distribution and the measured state. In this paper, we propose an $ε$-logarithm score that generalizes the celebrated logarithm score by considering a neighborhood with radius $ε$.
Tao Xu, Yushan Li 0001, Jianping He 0001
openaire +2 more sources
Prediction of Metabolic Transformations using Cross Venn-ABERS Predictors
Prediction of drug metabolism is an important topic in the drug discovery process, and we here present a study using probabilistic predictions applying Cross Venn-ABERS Predictors (CVAPs) on data for site-of-metabolism.
Carlsson, Lars, +3 more
core
Design of Probabilistic Random Forests with Applications to Anticancer Drug Sensitivity Prediction [PDF]
Random forests consisting of an ensemble of regression trees with equal weights are frequently used for design of predictive models. In this article, we consider an extension of the methodology by representing the regression trees in the form of ...
Ranadip Pal +8 more
core +1 more source
Hex: dynamics and probabilistic text entry [PDF]
We present a gestural interface for entering text on a mobile device via continuous movements, with control based on feedback from a probabilistic language model.
Murray-Smith, R., Williamson, J.
core +3 more sources
The rapid proliferation of lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles and grid-scale energy storage systems has underscored the critical need for advanced battery management systems, particularly for accurate state of health (SOH) monitoring.
Qingbin Wang +7 more
doaj +1 more source
A probabilistic prediction of the next strong earthquake in the Acapulco-San Marcos segment, Mexico [PDF]
Conditional probabilities for recurrence times of large earthquakes are a reasonable and valid form for estimating the likelihood of future large earthquakes.
Sergio G. Ferráes
doaj
Probabilistic user modelling methods for improving human-in-the-loop machine learning for prediction
Defence is held on 28.5.2021 12:00 – 16:00 Zoom link https://aalto.zoom.us/j/3182801227In many machine learning applications and in particular those with only few training data, human involvement in the form of data provider or expert of the task is ...
Daee, Pedram +4 more
core +1 more source
Prior-free probabilistic prediction of future observations
Prediction of future observations is a fundamental problem in statistics. Here we present a general approach based on the recently developed inferential model (IM) framework.
Ryan Martin (700679) +1 more
core +1 more source
Development of physiologically-based gut absorption model for probabilistic prediction of environmental chemical bioavailability. [PDF]
Lin HC, Chiu WA.
europepmc +1 more source
Call sequence prediction through probabilistic calling automata
Predicting a sequence of upcoming function calls is important for optimizing programs written in modern managed languages (e.g., Java, Javascript, C#.) Existing function call predictions are mainly built on statistical patterns, suitable for predicting a
Xipeng Shen +12 more
core +1 more source

