Results 281 to 290 of about 410,504 (298)
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Alternatives to Monte-Carlo Simulation for Probabilistic Reserves Estimation and Production Forecsting

Proceedings of SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, 1998
Abstract This paper describes three alternatives to Monte-Carlo simulation: (a) the first-order second moment method, (b) the point estimate method, and (c) the first-order reliability method, for the assessment of uncertainty in reservoir engineering calculations.
openaire   +1 more source

The Probabilistic Production Simulation for Mixed Wind-Hydro-Thermal Power System and the Sensitivity Analysis for the Indices of Abandoned Wind

Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference, 2012
In order to adapt the new situation that large-scale wind power is being integrated into power system more and more, the probabilistic production simulation method for mixed wind-hydro-thermal power system is researched and improved in this paper.
Hongyu Zhang   +4 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Simulation of DSM resources as generating units in probabilistic production costing framework

IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 1998
To study the economics of DSM resources the avoided cost method is used which requires two production cost simulation runs; one with a base case set of loads and another with the load shape changed by the expected impact of DSM. This paper presents an efficient technique which allows a single simulation to study probabilistically the impact of DSM on ...
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A new method for performing probabilistic production simulations by means of moments and Legendre series

IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 1991
A description is given of how power system probabilistic production simulations can be performed by using the Legendre series to approximately represent the load and the equivalent load. This implies that knowledge about the minimum and maximum value of the load is used.
openaire   +1 more source

Calculation of wind-farm capacity credit based on probabilistic production simulation and its application

IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies, 2012
In aspect of capacity, wind power generation and traditional power generation is inner connected. The capacity credit is a convenient and effective way to compare these two different types of power generation. Capacity credit of wind power (CCOWF) is presented in this paper, as well as a calculation method of CCOWF based on probabilistic production ...
null Junwei Liu   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source

A Monte Carlo simulation method for probabilistic evaluation of annual energy production of wind farm considering wind flow model and wake effect

Energy Conversion and Management, 2023
Ruili Liu   +5 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Power system probabilistic production simulation including large scale grid-connected photovoltaic generation

2016 IEEE 11th Conference on Industrial Electronics and Applications (ICIEA), 2016
Fan Hong, Luan Ru, Jiang Yanbin
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Correction to "An Investigation of Two Methods for the Probabilistic Energy Production Simulation"

IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1984
Narayan S. Rau, Cristina Necsulescu
openaire   +1 more source

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