Results 31 to 40 of about 514,307 (282)

A unifying nonlinear probabilistic epidemic model in space and time

open access: yesScientific Reports, 2021
Covid-19 epidemic dramatically relaunched the importance of mathematical modelling in supporting governments decisions to slow down the disease propagation. On the other hand, it remains a challenging task for mathematical modelling.
Roberto Beneduci   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Validation of Ensemble-Based Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change

open access: yesAtmosphere, 2021
Although there has been substantial improvement to numerical weather prediction models, accurate predictions of tropical cyclone rapid intensification (RI) remain elusive.
Ryan D. Torn, Mark DeMaria
doaj   +1 more source

STATISTICAL MODEL UPDATING AND STRUCTURAL PROBABILISTIC DAMAGE IDENTIFICATION BASED ON BAYESIAN METHOD

open access: yesJixie qiangdu, 2022
A Bayesian model updating and damage identification method based on Markov chain sampling was proposed for damage identification of stochastics structures.
GAN Lu, CHEN Hui
doaj  

Effect of Probabilistic Similarity Measure on Metric-Based Few-Shot Classification

open access: yesApplied Sciences, 2021
In developing a few-shot classification model using deep networks, the limited number of samples in each class causes difficulty in utilizing statistical characteristics of the class distributions.
Youngjae Lee, Hyeyoung Park
doaj   +1 more source

Constraint-based probabilistic modeling for statistical abduction [PDF]

open access: yesMachine Learning, 2010
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Sato, Taisuke   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Energy Markets Forecasting. From Inferential Statistics to Machine Learning: The German Case

open access: yesEnergies, 2021
In this work, we investigate a probabilistic method for electricity price forecasting, which overcomes traditional ones. We start considering statistical methods for point forecast, comparing their performance in terms of efficiency, accuracy, and ...
Emma Viviani   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Probabilistic forecasts of trachoma transmission at the district level: A statistical model comparison

open access: yesEpidemics, 2017
The World Health Organization and its partners are aiming to eliminate trachoma as a public health problem by 2020. In this study, we compare forecasts of TF prevalence in 2011 for 7 different statistical and mechanistic models across 9 de-identified ...
Amy Pinsent   +7 more
doaj   +1 more source

Statistical inference with probabilistic graphical models

open access: yes, 2014
Chapter of "Statistical Physics, Optimization, Inference, and Message-Passing Algorithms", Eds.: F. Krzakala, F. Ricci-Tersenghi, L. Zdeborova, R. Zecchina, E. W. Tramel, L. F. Cugliandolo (Oxford University Press, to appear)
Drémeau, Angélique   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Where do statistical models come from? Revisiting the problem of specification

open access: yes, 2006
R. A. Fisher founded modern statistical inference in 1922 and identified its fundamental problems to be: specification, estimation and distribution. Since then the problem of statistical model specification has received scant attention in the statistics ...
Spanos, Aris
core   +2 more sources

Empirical Risk Minimization for Probabilistic Grammars: Sample Complexity and Hardness of Learning [PDF]

open access: yes, 2012
Probabilistic grammars are generative statistical models that are useful for compositional and sequential structures. They are used ubiquitously in computational linguistics.
Cohen, S. B., Smith, N. A.
core   +3 more sources

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