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Probabilités et Statistique - Notes de cours
International audienceCe document est un fascicule de cours pour les enseignements des probabilités et de la statistique. Il couvre : l'analyse combinatoire, le calcul des probabilités (axiomes, théorèmes, propriétés), les schémas de tirages ...
Rakotomalala, Ricco
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Denning Phenology Mediates Sea‐Ice Loss Impacts on Early Reproductive Success in Polar Bears
Global Change Biology, Volume 32, Issue 8, August 2026.Changes in overwinter sheltering phenology in response to climate change and their fitness consequences have rarely been studied. Here, we show that climate change has disrupted the phenology of overwinter maternity denning in polar bears, with females emerging from den earlier when sea‐ice had been scarce the preceding year.
Marwan Naciri +6 more
wiley +1 more source
, 2020 Pour illustrer la fomule de Bayes, cette page HTML calcule les probabilités a priori ou a posteriori.C'est la version française 10.5281/zenodo.3976873. English 10.5281/zenodo.3976867. Deutsch 10.5281/zenodo.3976871.
Liebmann, Thomas
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Performance of epistasis detection methods in semi-simulated GWAS
BMC Bioinformatics, 2018 Background Part of the missing heritability in Genome Wide Association Studies (GWAS) is expected to be explained by interactions between genetic variants, also called epistasis. Various statistical methods have been developed to detect epistasis in case-
Clément Chatelain +3 more
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Pairwise Imitation and Tournament Graphs
International Economic Review, Volume 67, Issue 3, Page 937-955, August 2026.ABSTRACT This paper investigates strategic dynamics under the behavioral rule of pairwise interact and imitate (PII), which requires minimal information and emphasizes outperforming opponents in pairwise interactions. We characterize PII using weak tournament graphs and, for a broad class of dynamics, establish a one‐shot stability result for ...
Sung‐Ha Hwang +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Canadian Journal of Statistics, Volume 54, Issue 2, June 2026.Abstract We establish the consistency and the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimators of the coefficients of a subset vector autoregressive process with exogenous variables (VARX). Using a martingale central limit theorem, we derive the asymptotic normal distribution of the estimators. Diagnostic checking is discussed using kernel‐based
Pierre Duchesne +2 more
wiley +1 more source
, 2013 Ce vendredi aura lieu - au local SH-2560 - le premier cours ACT2121, de préparation pour l'examen P de la SOA (probability). Je renvoie à http://beanactuary.org/exams/... pour davantage d'information sur l'examen. Le plan de cours est en ligne, ainsi que
Arthur Charpentier
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Non‐negative Gaussian estimation of variance components in random effects models
Canadian Journal of Statistics, Volume 54, Issue 2, June 2026.Abstract When used to estimate variance components (VCs), confidence intervals (CIs) can be truncated at zero, have a point estimate not in the quoted CI, be empty with positive probability, or be all‐inclusive. This is because they have conflicting dual roles, since they are considered to cover the parameter with a specified probability while also ...
André Plante, Michael Plante
wiley +1 more source
Sur l' axiomatique de la théorie des probabilités [PDF]
, 1974 Prenant comme point de depart un ouvrage de L. J. Savage, nous faisons une presentation de I' axiomatique de ce qu'on appelle "les probabilités qualitatives" tout en y ajountant quelques ...
Voda, V. Gh., Craiu, V.
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Some topics in random walks [PDF]
ESAIM: Proceedings and SurveysWe collect a few recent results on random walks, which are ubiquitous in probability theory. The topics covered are: persistence problems for stochastic processes, large fluctuations in multi-scale modeling for rest hematopoiesis, and fine properties of ...
Berger Quentin +3 more
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