Results 61 to 70 of about 42,891 (139)

La fondation logique des probabilités chez Carnap [PDF]

open access: yes, 2013
Carnap a eu une participation active dans les discussions entourant la crise des fondements avant de se lancer dans le projet d’établir les fondements logiques des probabilités, ce qu’il présente dans « Logical Foundations of Probability » (1950).
Fradet, Karine
core   +1 more source

A Markov approach to credit rating migration conditional on economic states

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, Volume 54, Issue 1, March 2026.
Abstract We develop a model for credit rating migration that accounts for the impact of economic state fluctuations on default probabilities. The joint process for the economic state and the rating is modelled as a time‐homogeneous Markov chain. While the rating process itself possesses the Markov property only under restrictive conditions, methods ...
Michael Kalkbrener, Natalie Packham
wiley   +1 more source

La banalisation du miracle: analyse du discours de l’argumentation

open access: yesHorizontes Antropológicos, 1998
Résumé Le miracle dont on parle à l’Eglise Universelle n ‘est pas le miracle tel que défini dans la tradition. En effet, d’Augustin à Hobbes, le miracle est défini comme un fait extraordinaire ne s’expliquant pas par des causes naturelles.
André Corten
doaj   +1 more source

Does analyst participation in earnings conference calls curb real activities earnings management?

open access: yesContemporary Accounting Research, Volume 43, Issue 1, Page 169-200, Spring 2026.
Abstract Sell‐side equity analysts serve as external monitors, yet evidence on how they fulfill this monitoring role remains limited. We examine whether analysts utilize earnings conference calls to monitor firms suspected of real earnings management and assess the implications of such monitoring.
Yuan Ji, Oded Rozenbaum
wiley   +1 more source

Some topics in random walks [PDF]

open access: yesESAIM: Proceedings and Surveys
We collect a few recent results on random walks, which are ubiquitous in probability theory. The topics covered are: persistence problems for stochastic processes, large fluctuations in multi-scale modeling for rest hematopoiesis, and fine properties of ...
Berger Quentin   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Overbidding in Independant Private-Values Auctions and Misperception of Probabilities [PDF]

open access: yes
We conduct an experiment to test whether probability misperception may be a possible alternative to risk aversion to explain overbidding in independent first-price private-values auctions.
Nicolas Treich, Olivier Armantier
core  

Associations between endometrial swab bacteriology and cytology findings and live foal rates in Thoroughbred broodmares in the United Kingdom

open access: yesEquine Veterinary Journal, Volume 58, Issue 2, Page 348-358, March 2026.
Abstract Background To date, relationships between pre‐covering endometrial swab cytology and bacteriology and fertility outcomes in Thoroughbred broodmares in the United Kingdom are unknown and could aid clinical decision making. Objectives To investigate associations between cytology and bacteriology findings from the last endometrial swab taken in ...
Billy Fehin   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

A capture–recapture framework for combining biologging data with physical captures to decompose and estimate demographic rates: Simulations across life cycles and application to polar bears

open access: yesMethods in Ecology and Evolution, Volume 17, Issue 2, Page 585-597, February 2026.
Abstract Estimating demographic rates of wild populations is critical to understanding their dynamics but can be challenging because large amounts of data are required, and parts of the life cycle of individuals may be unobserved. In numerous research programmes, capture–recapture (CR) data and biologging data are collected in parallel.
Marwan Naciri   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Population Viability Analysis to Inform Reintroduction Decisions for a Group‐Living Primate, the Barbary Macaque

open access: yesAnimal Conservation, Volume 29, Issue 1, Page 34-47, February 2026.
We developed a population viability analysis to inform reintroduction strategies for the endangered Barbary macaque (Macaca sylvanus), incorporating age‐specific vital rates, release costs on survival and reproduction, environmental and demographic stochasticity, and catastrophic events.
Elisa Neves   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

Argumentation et probabilités, ou pourquoi l’argumentation rationnelle n’est pas (toujours) un raisonnement [PDF]

open access: yesSHS Web of Conferences
Cet article explore les connexions possibles entre l’approche de l’argumentation « dans la langue » (Anscombre et Ducrot) et l’approche Bayésienne de la confirmation.
Jayez Jacques
doaj   +1 more source

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