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Infinitesimal Probabilities [PDF]

open access: yesThe British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 2018
Non-Archimedean probability functions allow us to combine regularity with perfect additivity. We discuss the philosophical motivation for a particular choice of axioms for a non-Archimedean probability theory and answer some philosophical objections that have been raised against infinitesimal probabilities in general.
Benci, Vieri   +2 more
openaire   +6 more sources

Evaluation Methodology of Open-Pit Mine Overall Slope Failure Risks

open access: yesMaterials Proceedings, 2023
Slope failure risks and corresponding probabilities and consequences are related to a large number of causes, thus, their quantification is a complex process.
Natalija Pavlovic   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Decision-making under risk and uncertainty and its application in strategic management

open access: yesJournal of Business Economics and Management, 2014
We introduce a new decision-making model that unifies risk and uncertain environments in the same formulation. For doing so, we present the induced probabilistic ordered weighted averaging (IPOWA) operator.
José M. Merigó
doaj   +1 more source

Variable Selection Bias in Classification Trees Based on Imprecise Probabilities [PDF]

open access: yes, 2005
Classification trees based on imprecise probabilities provide an advancement of classical classification trees. The Gini Index is the default splitting criterion in classical classification trees, while in classification trees based on imprecise ...
Carolin Strobl, Strobl, Carolin
core   +1 more source

GENESIS – The GENEric SImulation System for Modelling State Transitions

open access: yesJournal of Open Research Software, 2017
This software implements a discrete time Markov chain model, used to model transitions between states when the transition probabilities are known 'a priori'.
Matthew S. Gillman
doaj   +1 more source

The Work Sample Verification and the Calculation of the Statistical, Mathematical and Economical Probability for the Risks of the Direct Procurement [PDF]

open access: yesOvidius University Annals: Economic Sciences Series, 2017
Each organization has among its multiple secondary endpoints subordinated to a centralobjective that one of avoiding the contingencies. The direct procurement is carried out on themarket in SEAP (Electronic System of Public Procurement), and a performing
Lazăr Cristiana Daniela   +2 more
doaj  

Good Fences Make for Good Neighbors but Bad Science: A Review of What Improves Bayesian Reasoning and Why

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2015
Bayesian reasoning, defined here as the updating of a posterior probability following new information, has historically been problematic for humans. Classic psychology experiments have tested human Bayesian reasoning through the use of word problems and ...
Gary L. Brase, W. Trey eHill
doaj   +1 more source

An Eye-Tracking Study of Statistical Reasoning With Tree Diagrams and 2 × 2 Tables

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2019
Changing the information format from probabilities into frequencies as well as employing appropriate visualizations such as tree diagrams or 2 × 2 tables are important tools that can facilitate people’s statistical reasoning.
Georg Bruckmaier   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Computation of infix probabilities for probabilistic context-free grammars [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
The notion of infix probability has been introduced in the literature as a generalization of the notion of prefix (or initial substring) probability, motivated by applications in speech recognition and word error correction.
Satta, Giorgio   +4 more
core   +2 more sources

Entrepreneurship and Decision-Making in Latin America

open access: yesInnovar: Revista de Ciencias Administrativas y Sociales, 2014
The principal purpose of this paper is to analyze different methods for decision making, with a focus on entrepreneurship in Latin America. Decision-making methods may be informed by aggregation operators that are based on the use of probabilities ...
José M. Merigó, Marta Peris-Ortiz
doaj   +1 more source

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