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Physical Probability as a Propensity
Noûs, 1982R. Carnap [3] distinguished probability, from probability2. This paper is concerned with probability2. Other names for it have been 'empirical probability,' 'physical probability,' 'chance,' and 'statistical probability.' We will usually use 'physical probability.' Our standard example will be the bias of a coin towards, say, heads.
Frank Jackson, Robert Pargetter
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Propensity representations of probability
Erkenntnis, 1987In recent years a propensity interpretation of probability, thought of primarily as an objective interpretation, has become popular with a number of philosophers, and there has developed a rather large philosophical literature on it. The concept of propensity itself is not a new one.
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On Popper, Probabilities, And Propensities
Review of Social Economy, 1996This paper traces the development of Popper's thinking on propensities from his writings on probability during the 1950s through to his 1990 bookA World of Propensities. It is argued that there are significant commonalities between the views expressed in this (his last) book and the metaphysics and methodological implications of Critical Realism.
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The Propensity Interpretation of Fitness and the Propensity Interpretation of Probability
Erkenntnis, 2014The paper provides a new critical perspective on the propensity interpretation of fitness (PIF), by investigating its relationship to the propensity interpretation of probability. Two main conclusions are drawn. First, the claim that fitness is a propensity cannot be understood properly: fitness is not a propensity in the sense prescribed by the ...
Drouet, Isabelle, Merlin, Francesca
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Possibilities, Probabilities, and Propensities
2021Compares Keynes’s pessimistic view that the future is radically uncertain with Karl Popper’s similar but more optimistic view that the future is “open”. The implications for politics and economics.
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Propensity, Probability, and Quantum Theory
Foundations of Physics, 2016zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
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Why Propensities Cannot Be Probabilities
The Philosophical Review, 1985Abstract Propensities are often taken to provide an interpretation for probability theory that is congenial to single-case probabilities. An argument is provided to show that propensities cannot be correctly represented by conditional probabilities because they do not in general satisfy Bayes’ theorem or the multiplication principle. The
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Propensity, probability, and quantum physics
Foundations of Physics, 1995zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Bastos Filho, J. Barretto, Selleri, F.
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2019
Abstract Retrospective reflections are provided on the papers “Why Propensities Cannot Be Probabilities,” “Some Considerations on Conditional Chances,” and “Probability Theory and Its Models” by Paul Humphreys. A discussion of whether probability theory is a mathematical or an empirical theory is provided and the point made that ...
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Abstract Retrospective reflections are provided on the papers “Why Propensities Cannot Be Probabilities,” “Some Considerations on Conditional Chances,” and “Probability Theory and Its Models” by Paul Humphreys. A discussion of whether probability theory is a mathematical or an empirical theory is provided and the point made that ...
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