Results 101 to 110 of about 2,073,215 (262)

Evaluating probability forecasts in terms of refinement and strictly proper scoring rules [PDF]

open access: yes
This note gives an easily verified necessary and sufficient condition for one probability forecaster to empirically outperform another one in terms of all strictly proper scoring rules.
Krämer, Walter
core  

Tailored proper scoring rules elicit decision weights [PDF]

open access: yes, 2020
Proper scoring rules are scoring methods that incentivize honest reporting of subjective probabilities, where an agent strictly maximizes his expected score by reporting his true belief.
Arthur Carvalho
core  

A Biofabricated Human Acinus‐on‐a‐Chip Unveils Mechanotransductive Drivers of Ventilator‐Induced Lung Injury via Decoupling Volutrauma and Barotrauma

open access: yesAdvanced Science, EarlyView.
This bioinspired acinus‐on‐a‐chip recapitulates VILI pathology, revealing that volutrauma drives P53/NF‐κB pathways while barotrauma triggers mitochondrial‐Wnt dysregulation. A fibrotic transitional cell cluster was identified. Pharmacological interventions targeting these pathways significantly ameliorated injury, establishing a mechanobiological ...
Heng Lu   +10 more
wiley   +1 more source

Overconfident for real? Proper scoring for confidence intervals [PDF]

open access: yes
Studies show that people tend to provide overly narrow confidence intervals for unknown values. Such a form of overconfidence would have an important impact on financial markets, among other domains, leading i.a. to excessive trading.
Michał Krawczyk
core  

Selective Modulation of OTUB1 Noncanonical Function via a bioPhosTAC Strategy

open access: yesAdvanced Science, EarlyView.
This work positions the versatile performance of the peptide‐based bioPhosTAC platform for dissecting phosphorylation‐dependent biology and expanding the scope of induced‐proximity technologies. We demonstrated that selective manipulation of a tyrosine phosphorylation site is sufficient to propagate coordinated cellular consequences.
Seung Un Seo   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

RSF1‐Dependent PAR Turnover Promotes 53BP1 Liquid Condensate Formation at DNA Damage Sites

open access: yesAdvanced Science, EarlyView.
At sites of DNA damage, RSF1 recruits PARG to accelerate PAR turnover, triggering a switch from PAR‐driven condensates to 53BP1 condensates. This condensate transition enables p53‐dependent gene transcription and coordinates the DNA damage response.
Yungyeong Heo   +10 more
wiley   +1 more source

Quantifying Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty with Proper Scoring Rules

open access: yesCoRR
Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty based on proper scoring rules, which are loss functions with the meaningful property that they ...
Paul Hofman   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Streptococcal Mannose Phosphotransferase System Component IID Is a Novel RANK‐Binding Osteoclastogenic Factor

open access: yesAdvanced Science, EarlyView.
Streptococcal mannose phosphotransferase system component IID (Man‐PTSIID) is identified as a novel RANK‐binding osteoclastogenic factor. By directly binding to RANK and activating NF‐κB independently of TLR2, Man‐PTSIID drives osteoclastogenesis and inflammatory bone destruction, uncovering an unexpected microbial mechanism underlying streptococcal ...
Chaeyeon Park   +13 more
wiley   +1 more source

Loss of CYLD on Chromosome 16q Impairs Homologous Recombination and Genomic Stability Through TIRR Degradation

open access: yesAdvanced Science, EarlyView.
Chromosome 16q loss drives genomic instability through disruption of the CYLD–TIRR–53BP1 axis. CYLD preserves homologous recombination by stabilizing TIRR and limiting 53BP1 accumulation at DNA double‐strand breaks. CYLD deficiency redirects repair toward error‐prone non‐homologous end joining, promotes mutational burden and homologous recombination ...
Mingming Lu   +14 more
wiley   +1 more source

Targeting β2‐Adrenergic Receptor Stability With Lycorine Reveals a Host‐Directed Pathway for Antiviral Defense Against Poxviruses

open access: yesAdvanced Science, EarlyView.
Chronic stress drives autophagy‐mediated β2‐AR degradation, impairing antiviral immunity and promoting poxvirus lethality. Lycorine directly stabilizes β2‐AR to restore host defense, suppress excessive inflammation and improve survival. ABSTRACT Psychological stress is a pervasive yet poorly understood modulator of infectious disease outcomes. Here, we
Xin Zhang   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

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