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A clinical scoring system to predict tuberculous lymphadenitis in settings with high disease burden. [PDF]

open access: yesSci Rep
Yefter ET   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Proper Scoring Rules for Interval Probabilistic Forecasts [PDF]

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2017
Interval probabilistic forecasts for a binary event are forecasts issued as a range of probabilities for the occurrence of the event, for example, ‘chance of rain: 10-20%’.
Christopher A T Ferro, K Mitchell
exaly   +5 more sources

Probabilistic Coherence and Proper Scoring Rules [PDF]

open access: yesIEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 2009
LaTeX2, 15 ...
Elliott H. Lieb   +2 more
exaly   +4 more sources
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An Overview of Applications of Proper Scoring Rules

Decision Analysis, 2016
We present a study on the evolution of publications about applications of proper scoring rules. Specifically, we consider articles reporting the use of proper scoring rules when either measuring the accuracy of forecasts or for inducing honest reporting of private information within a certain context.
Arthur Carvalho
exaly   +3 more sources

Choosing a Strictly Proper Scoring Rule

Decision Analysis, 2013
Strictly proper scoring rules, including the Brier score and the logarithmic score, are standard metrics by which probability forecasters are assessed and compared. Researchers often find that one's choice of strictly proper scoring rule has minimal impact on one's conclusions, but this conclusion is typically drawn from a small set of popular rules ...
Edgar C. Merkle, Mark Steyvers
exaly   +4 more sources

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