Results 221 to 230 of about 20,924 (314)

Polar‐low track prediction using machine‐learning methods

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Machine‐learning models are developed to produce reliable and efficient forecasts of polar‐low (PL) trajectories 12 hours ahead. A temporal model (RLSTM) benefiting from the rolling‐forecast strategy, improves overall prediction accuracy and is suitable for quick experimentation, while a spatiotemporal model (PL‐UNet), incorporating both historical and
Ziying Yang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

NowPrecip 2: Precipitation nowcasting in the complex terrain of Switzerland. Part I: Methods

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
In this work we present the methods of the areal precipitation nowcasting system NowPrecip version 2. In this version a new methodology is introduced, which, although it shares philosophy and techniques with the original methodology of NowPrecip version 1, can be considered as distinct from that.
I. V. Sideris   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Evaluating the realism of double moment parameterised particle size distributions in a midlatitude frontal ice cloud with complex microphysics

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Uncertainties in the representation of ice particle size distributions (PSDs) cause inaccuracies in parameterisations of clouds. In this study, observed PSDs from a midlatitude frontal case study are compared with gamma PSDs with the same concentration and ice water content.
Rosie M. Mammatt   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

A new method to identify and explain sources of precipitation modification, illustrated for the western Netherlands

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study develops a method to identify the source areas of precipitation events, as illustrated for the western part of the Netherlands. Radar‐based precipitation data are traced back to their source areas and machine‐learning techniques are used to identify hypothesized causes: urban heat, surface roughness, and air pollution. We find that urban and
Jelmer van der Graaff   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

NowPrecip 2: Precipitation nowcasting in the complex terrain of Switzerland. Part II: Verification

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
In this work we present the verification of the NowPrecip precipitation nowcasting systems (version 1 and version 2). Using 3.5 years of data over the period 2020–2023, their performance is compared with PySTEPS and the ICON numerical weather prediction ensemble by computing deterministic and probabilistic metrics.
A. Ntoumos   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

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